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[关于发表偏倚检测的实际考量]

[Practical considerations on detection of publication bias].

作者信息

Palma Pérez Silvia, Delgado Rodríguez Miguel

机构信息

Area de Medicina Preventiva y Salud Pública, Universidad de Jaén, Jaén, España.

出版信息

Gac Sanit. 2006 Dec;20 Suppl 3:10-6. doi: 10.1157/13101085.

Abstract

The present review aims to answer 3 questions: does publication bias need to be assessed in meta-analyses?; what procedures, not requiring complex statistical approaches, can be applied to detect it?; and should other factors be taken into account when interpreting the procedures? The first question is easy to answer. Publication bias is a potential threat to the validity of the conclusions of meta-analyses. Therefore, both the MOOSE and QUOROM statements include publication bias in their guidelines; nevertheless, many meta-analyses do not use these statements (e.g., meta-analyses conducted by the Cochrane Collaboration), perhaps because they use a comprehensive search strategy. There are many methods to assess publication bias. The most frequently used are funnel plots or <>, <> (which allow the effects of bias to be estimated), and methods based upon regression on plots, such as Egger's method and funnel plot regression. An advantage of these methods is that they can only be applied using published data. However, agreement between these methods in detecting bias is often poor. Therefore, application of more than one method to detect publication bias is recommended. To correctly interpret the results, the number of pooled studies should be more than 10 and the existence of heterogeneity in the pooled estimate must be taken into account.

摘要

本综述旨在回答3个问题:在荟萃分析中是否需要评估发表偏倚?;可以应用哪些不需要复杂统计方法的程序来检测发表偏倚?;在解释这些程序时是否应考虑其他因素?第一个问题很容易回答。发表偏倚是对荟萃分析结论有效性的潜在威胁。因此,MOOSE声明和QUOROM声明在其指南中都包括了发表偏倚;然而,许多荟萃分析并未采用这些声明(例如,Cochrane协作网进行的荟萃分析),可能是因为它们采用了全面的检索策略。有许多方法可用于评估发表偏倚。最常用的是漏斗图或“圣诞树”图、“修剪与填充”法(可估计偏倚的影响)以及基于图上回归的方法,如Egger法和漏斗图回归法。这些方法的一个优点是它们只能使用已发表的数据来应用。然而,这些方法在检测偏倚方面的一致性往往较差。因此,建议应用多种方法来检测发表偏倚。为了正确解释结果,纳入研究的数量应超过10项,并且必须考虑合并估计中异质性的存在。

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