Rashid Harun, Hunt Len M, Haider Wolfgang
Department of Geography and Earth Science, University of Wisconsin-La Crosse, La Crosse, WI 54601, USA.
Environ Manage. 2007 Jul;40(1):95-104. doi: 10.1007/s00267-006-0233-7. Epub 2007 May 24.
This article applies a stated preference choice model to assess trade-offs that residents of two squatter settlements in Dhaka, Bangladesh might consider if they were given choices for relocation to flood-free areas. The respondents were asked to choose repeatedly from a set of choice cards, which displayed different configurations of financial incentives for relocation, such as free or inexpensive land, loans or nonrepayable grants, and provisions for temporary or permanent employment opportunities. The survey results indicated that despite extensive experience with flood problems, many residents of Mirpur and Vasantek found that certain configurations of economic incentives were not attractive enough for them to relocate to flood-free areas. At the same time, they would prefer a reduction in the risk of flooding at their current location. The economic incentives that would best assist in increasing voluntary relocation of residents from their current locations included free land, nonrepayable grants (Taka 20,000), and long-term employment opportunities. Further, differences in geographic location (i.e., Mirpur vs. Vasantek), income levels, and membership in neighborhood communities were linked with the tendency of residents to stay at their current location.
本文运用陈述偏好选择模型,来评估孟加拉国达卡两个棚户区的居民若有机会选择搬迁至无洪灾地区时可能会考虑的权衡因素。受访者被要求从一组选择卡中反复做出选择,这些选择卡展示了不同的搬迁经济激励配置,比如免费或低价土地、贷款或无需偿还的赠款,以及临时或长期就业机会的提供。调查结果表明,尽管米尔布尔和瓦桑泰克的居民有丰富的应对洪灾问题的经验,但他们发现某些经济激励配置对他们来说吸引力不足,不足以促使他们搬迁至无洪灾地区。与此同时,他们更倾向于降低当前居住地的洪灾风险。最有助于增加居民从当前居住地自愿搬迁的经济激励措施包括免费土地、无需偿还的赠款(20,000塔卡)以及长期就业机会。此外,地理位置(即米尔布尔与瓦桑泰克)、收入水平以及邻里社区成员身份的差异与居民留在当前居住地的倾向有关。