Bergamaschi Roberto
Department of Clinical Neurology, Multiple Sclerosis Center, Neurological Institute, C. Mondino, Via Mondino 2, Pavia 27100, Italy.
Int Rev Neurobiol. 2007;79:423-47. doi: 10.1016/S0074-7742(07)79019-0.
Prognostic factors to determine the patient's likelihood of developing MS are important for several reasons. Prognostic factors are important to the patient who wants to be informed about his/her prospects, to the clinician who needs to individuate the patients who deserve immune treatments, and to the researcher who needs to improve the design and the analysis of the therapeutic trials. In addition, with the development of new immune therapies, whose early use is strongly encouraged, it is crucial to dispose of reliable clinical predictors to identify the patients who are candidates for early or aggressive therapies. Several studies have indicated that a poor prognosis is related to male gender; a late age at onset; motor, cerebellar, and sphincter involvement at onset; a progressive course at onset; a short inter-attack interval; a high number of early attacks; and a relevant early residual disability. Paraclinical support for MS prognosis is given by imaging techniques, cerebrospinal fluid analysis, and evoked potential examinations. The most sensitive paraclinical test to predict conversion from suspected demyelinating disease to definite MS is MRI.
确定患者患多发性硬化症可能性的预后因素之所以重要,有几个原因。预后因素对于想要了解自身前景的患者、需要区分哪些患者值得接受免疫治疗的临床医生以及需要改进治疗试验设计与分析的研究人员来说都很重要。此外,随着新免疫疗法的发展,强烈鼓励早期使用这些疗法,因此拥有可靠的临床预测指标以识别适合早期或积极治疗的患者至关重要。多项研究表明,预后不良与男性性别、发病年龄较晚、发病时出现运动、小脑和括约肌受累、发病时病程呈进行性、发作间期短、早期发作次数多以及早期存在明显残余残疾有关。影像学技术、脑脊液分析和诱发电位检查为多发性硬化症的预后提供了临床辅助支持。预测从疑似脱髓鞘疾病转变为确诊多发性硬化症最敏感的临床辅助检查是磁共振成像(MRI)。