Nunes Kevin L, Hanson R Karl, Firestone Philip, Moulden Heather M, Greenberg David M, Bradford John M
Programming Research Division, Research Branch, Correctional Service Canada, Ottawa, ON, Canada.
Sex Abuse. 2007 Jun;19(2):91-105. doi: 10.1177/107906320701900202. Epub 2007 May 30.
This study examined whether there were variables that moderated the relationship between denial and recidivism among adult male sexual offenders. The first study (N = 489) found that the relationship with sexual recidivism was moderated by risk (as measured by the Rapid Risk Assessment for Sexual Offense Recidivism) but not by psychopathy (as measured by the Psychopathy Checklist-Revised). Contrary to expectations, denial was associated with increased sexual recidivism among the low-risk offenders and with decreased recidivism among the high-risk offenders. Post hoc analyses suggested that the risk item most responsible for the interaction was "relationship to victims". For incest offenders, denial was associated with increased sexual recidivism, but denial was not associated with increased recidivism for offenders with unrelated victims. These interactions were substantially replicated in two independent samples (N = 490 and N = 73). The results suggest that denial merits further consideration for researchers as well as those involved in applied risk assessment of sexual offenders.
本研究探讨了是否存在调节成年男性性犯罪者否认与再犯之间关系的变量。第一项研究（N = 489）发现，与性再犯的关系受到风险（通过性犯罪再犯快速风险评估来衡量）的调节，但不受精神病态（通过修订版精神病态清单来衡量）的调节。与预期相反，否认与低风险犯罪者的性再犯增加以及高风险犯罪者的再犯减少相关。事后分析表明，对这种相互作用最有责任的风险项目是“与受害者的关系”。对于乱伦犯罪者，否认与性再犯增加相关，但对于涉及非亲属受害者的犯罪者，否认与再犯增加无关。这些相互作用在两个独立样本（N = 490和N = 73）中得到了实质性的重复。结果表明，否认值得研究人员以及参与性犯罪者应用风险评估的人员进一步考虑。
