Nunes Kevin L, Firestone Philip, Wexler Audrey F, Jensen Tamara L, Bradford John M
School of Psychology, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada.
Law Hum Behav. 2007 Jun;31(3):305-18. doi: 10.1007/s10979-006-9065-5.
The relationship between incarceration and recidivism was investigated in a sample of 627 adult male sexual offenders. Incarceration for the index offense was unrelated to sexual or violent recidivism. This was the case whether incarceration was examined as a dichotomous variable (incarceration vs. community sentence) or as a continuous variable (length of incarceration). Risk for sexual recidivism was assessed with a modified version of the Rapid Risk Assessment for Sexual Offense Recidivism. There was no evidence that the relationship between incarceration and recidivism was confounded or moderated by risk or that length of incarceration and recidivism were non-linearly associated. Sentencing sexual offenders to terms of incarceration appears to have little, if any, impact on sexual and violent recidivism following release.
在一个由627名成年男性性犯罪者组成的样本中,对监禁与累犯之间的关系进行了调查。因指数犯罪而被监禁与性犯罪或暴力累犯无关。无论将监禁作为二分变量(监禁与社区刑罚)还是连续变量(监禁时长)进行考察,情况都是如此。使用性犯罪再犯快速风险评估的修改版对性再犯风险进行了评估。没有证据表明监禁与累犯之间的关系因风险而混淆或受到调节,也没有证据表明监禁时长与累犯之间存在非线性关联。对性犯罪者判处监禁刑期似乎对其获释后的性犯罪和暴力累犯几乎没有影响(如果有影响的话也很小)。