Houston Alasdair I, McNamara John M, Steer Mark D
Centre for Behavioural Biology, University of Bristol, Woodland Road, Bristol BS8 1UG, UK.
Biol Lett. 2007 Aug 22;3(4):365-7. doi: 10.1098/rsbl.2007.0111.
We present a novel demonstration that violations of transitive choice can result from decision strategies that maximize fitness. Our results depend on how the available options, including options not currently chosen, influence a decision-maker's expectations about the future. In particular, they depend on how the presence of an option may act as an insurance against a run of bad luck in the future.
我们提出了一个新颖的论证,即违反传递性选择可能源于使适应性最大化的决策策略。我们的结果取决于可用选项(包括当前未被选择的选项)如何影响决策者对未来的期望。具体而言,它们取决于一个选项的存在如何可能作为对未来一连串厄运的一种保障。