Modelling Animal Decisions Group, School of Biological Sciences, University of Bristol, Woodland Road, Bristol BS8 1UG, UK.
Proc Biol Sci. 2013 Jun 5;280(1763):20130858. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2013.0858. Print 2013 Jul 22.
Understanding decisions is a fundamental aim of behavioural ecology, psychology and economics. The regularity axiom of utility theory holds that a preference between options should be maintained when other options are made available. Empirical studies have shown that animals violate regularity but this has not been understood from a theoretical perspective, such decisions have therefore been labelled as irrational. Here, I use models of state-dependent behaviour to demonstrate that choices can violate regularity even when behavioural strategies are optimal. I also show that the range of conditions over which regularity should be violated can be larger when options do not always persist into the future. Consequently, utility theory--based on axioms, including transitivity, regularity and the independence of irrelevant alternatives--is undermined, because even alternatives that are never chosen by an animal (in its current state) can be relevant to a decision.
理解决策是行为生态学、心理学和经济学的一个基本目标。效用理论的规则性公理认为,当提供其他选项时,应该保持对选项的偏好。实证研究表明,动物违反了规则性,但这并没有从理论角度得到理解,因此这些决策被标记为非理性。在这里,我使用状态依赖行为模型来证明,即使行为策略是最优的,选择也可能违反规则性。我还表明,当选项并不总是持续到未来时,违反规则性的条件范围可以更大。因此,基于公理(包括传递性、规则性和不相关替代的独立性)的效用理论受到了破坏,因为即使动物(在当前状态下)从未选择过的替代方案也可能与决策相关。