Connell Christian M, Bergeron Natasha, Katz Karol H, Saunders Leon, Tebes Jacob Kraemer
Department of Psychiatry, Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, CT 06511, USA.
Child Abuse Negl. 2007 May;31(5):573-88. doi: 10.1016/j.chiabu.2006.12.004.
This study examines child, family, and case characteristics that impact rates of re-referral to Child Protective Services (CPS) using data on all closed CPS investigations for the state of Rhode Island between 2001 and 2004.
A longitudinal dataset of all referrals to CPS was created using state submissions to the National Child Abuse and Neglect Data System (NCANDS). After excluding children whose initial CPS investigation resulted in removal from the home, a Cox proportional hazards model was tested to examine factors impacting the likelihood of re-referral.
Consistent with other research in this area, the initial 6-month period following case disposition is the period of greatest risk of re-referral. Approximately 13% of cases experienced a recurrent allegation during the first 6-month period; an additional 14% experienced a re-referral over the following 12-month period; 7% during the next 12-month period. Family poverty was the strongest predictor of re-referral, though a number of child and case characteristics were significantly related to recurrence. Cases that were substantiated at index were significantly less likely to result in a new allegation, though substantiated cases of physical abuse or those receiving post-investigation services were at higher risk.
Children from families facing multiple stressors (e.g., low SES, parental substance abuse child disability) are at highest risk of re-referral to CPS and may benefit from the development of preventive services targeted immediately following case closings within CPS.
本研究利用2001年至2004年罗德岛州所有已结案的儿童保护服务(CPS)调查数据,考察了影响再次转介至儿童保护服务机构比例的儿童、家庭及案件特征。
利用该州提交给国家虐待与忽视儿童数据系统(NCANDS)的资料,创建了一个关于所有转介至儿童保护服务机构的纵向数据集。在排除那些初次儿童保护服务调查导致其被带离家庭的儿童后,对Cox比例风险模型进行了检验,以考察影响再次转介可能性的因素。
与该领域的其他研究一致,案件结案后的最初6个月是再次转介风险最高的时期。约13%的案件在最初6个月内出现了反复指控;在接下来的12个月内,另有14%的案件经历了再次转介;在随后的12个月内,这一比例为7%。家庭贫困是再次转介的最强预测因素,不过一些儿童及案件特征与反复发生显著相关。初次调查时被证实的案件导致新指控的可能性显著降低,不过身体虐待被证实的案件或那些接受调查后服务的案件风险更高。
来自面临多种压力源(如低社会经济地位、父母药物滥用、儿童残疾)家庭的儿童再次转介至儿童保护服务机构的风险最高,可能会从儿童保护服务机构结案后立即开展的预防性服务中受益。