Raymer James, Rogers Andrei
Division of Social Statistics, School of Social Sciences, University of Southampton, Southampton SO17 1BJ, United Kingdom.
Demography. 2007 May;44(2):199-223. doi: 10.1353/dem.2007.0016.
This article outlines a formal model-based approach for inferring interregional age-specific migration streams in settings where such data are incomplete, inadequate, or unavailable. The estimation approach relies heavily on log-linear models, using them to impose some of the regularities exhibited by past age and spatial structures or to combine and borrow information drawn from other sources. The approach is illustrated using data from the 1990 and 2000 U.S. and Mexico censuses.
本文概述了一种基于正式模型的方法,用于在区域间特定年龄迁移流数据不完整、不充分或无法获取的情况下进行推断。该估计方法严重依赖对数线性模型,利用它们来体现过去年龄和空间结构所呈现的一些规律,或者合并和借鉴来自其他来源的信息。使用1990年和2000年美国及墨西哥人口普查数据对该方法进行了说明。