Warren R, Peck J M
Demography. 1980 Feb;17(1):71-84.
This paper presents estimates of emigration of foreign-born persons by age and sex for 1960 to 1970, based on 1960 and 1970 census counts of the foreign-born population, adjusted life table survival rates, and annual statistics on alien immigration published by the Immigration and Naturalization Service. The effects of nativity bias are discussed. It is estimated that approximately 1,140,000 foreign-born persons emigrated between 1960 and 1970, of which 663,000, or 58%, were women and 477,000 were men. Almost one-quarter of the foreign-born emigrants were women 25-44 years of age in 1970. About 175,000 foreign-born persons 65 years and over in 1970 emigrated during the decade. The most significant finding, that more than one million foreign-born persons left the United States between 1960 and 1970, has important implications for U.S. immigration policy and for net immigration data used to estimate the population of the United States.
本文基于1960年和1970年外国出生人口的普查数据、调整后的生命表生存率以及移民与归化局公布的外国侨民年度移民统计数据,呈现了1960年至1970年按年龄和性别划分的外国出生人口的移民估计数。文中讨论了出生国偏差的影响。据估计,1960年至1970年间约有114万外国出生人口移民,其中66.3万(即58%)为女性,47.7万为男性。1970年,近四分之一的外国出生移民是25至44岁的女性。在这十年间,1970年65岁及以上的约17.5万外国出生人口移民。最显著的发现是,1960年至1970年间有超过100万外国出生人口离开美国,这对美国移民政策以及用于估计美国人口的净移民数据具有重要意义。