Tang Man-Lai, Liao Yi Jie, Ng Hong Keung Tony, Chan Ping Shing
Department of Mathematics, Hong Kong Baptist University, Kowloon Tong, Kowloon, Hong Kong.
Biom J. 2007 Aug;49(4):551-64. doi: 10.1002/bimj.200610337.
Inverse sampling is considered to be a more appropriate sampling scheme than the usual binomial sampling scheme when subjects arrive sequentially, when the underlying response of interest is acute, and when maximum likelihood estimators of some epidemiologic indices are undefined. In this article, we study various statistics for testing non-unity rate ratios in case-control studies under inverse sampling. These include the Wald, unconditional score, likelihood ratio and conditional score statistics. Three methods (the asymptotic, conditional exact, and Mid-P methods) are adopted for P-value calculation. We evaluate the performance of different combinations of test statistics and P-value calculation methods in terms of their empirical sizes and powers via Monte Carlo simulation. In general, asymptotic score and conditional score tests are preferable for their actual type I error rates are well controlled around the pre-chosen nominal level, and their powers are comparatively the largest. The exact version of Wald test is recommended if one wants to control the actual type I error rate at or below the pre-chosen nominal level. If larger power is expected and fluctuation of sizes around the pre-chosen nominal level are allowed, then the Mid-P version of Wald test is a desirable alternative. We illustrate the methodologies with a real example from a heart disease study.
当研究对象按顺序到达、潜在的感兴趣反应是急性的以及某些流行病学指标的最大似然估计量未定义时,逆抽样被认为是比通常的二项抽样方案更合适的抽样方案。在本文中,我们研究了在逆抽样下病例对照研究中用于检验非单位率比的各种统计量。这些包括 Wald 统计量、无条件得分统计量、似然比统计量和条件得分统计量。采用三种方法(渐近法、条件精确法和 Mid - P 法)计算 P 值。我们通过蒙特卡罗模拟,根据不同检验统计量和 P 值计算方法组合的经验大小和功效来评估它们的性能。一般来说,渐近得分检验和条件得分检验更可取,因为它们的实际 I 型错误率在预先选定的名义水平附近得到了很好的控制,并且它们的功效相对最大。如果希望将实际 I 型错误率控制在或低于预先选定的名义水平,则推荐 Wald 检验的精确版本。如果期望有更大的功效并且允许大小在预先选定的名义水平附近波动,那么 Wald 检验的 Mid - P 版本是一个理想的选择。我们用一项心脏病研究中的实际例子来说明这些方法。