Siggeirsdottir Kristin, Aspelund Thor, Sigurdsson Gunnar, Mogensen Brynjolfur, Chang Milan, Jonsdottir Birna, Eiriksdottir Gudny, Launer Lenore J, Harris Tamara B, Jonsson Brynjolfur Y, Gudnason Vilmundur
Icelandic Heart Association, Holtasmari 1, 201, Kopavogur, Iceland.
Eur J Epidemiol. 2007;22(9):631-9. doi: 10.1007/s10654-007-9163-9. Epub 2007 Jul 25.
Misreporting fractures in questionnaires is known. However, the effect of misreporting on the association of fractures with subsequent health outcomes has not been examined.
Data from a fracture registry (FR) developed from an extensive review of radiographic and medical records were related to self-report of fracture for 2,255 participants from the AGES Reykjavik Study. This data was used to determine false negative and false positive rates of self-reported fractures, correlates of misreporting, and the potential effect of the misreporting on estimates of health outcomes following fractures.
In women, the false positive rate decreased with age as the false negative rate increased with no clear trend with age in men. Kappa values for agreement between FR and self-report were generally higher in women than men with the best agreement for forearm fracture (men 0.64 and women 0.82) and the least for rib (men 0.28 and women 0.25). Impaired cognition was a major factor associated with discordant answers between FR and self-report, OR 1.7 (95% CI: 1.3-2.1) (P < 0.0001). We estimated the effect of misreporting on health after fracture by comparison of the association of the self-report of fracture and fracture from the FR, adjusting for those factors associated with discordance. The weighted attenuation factor measured by mobility and muscle strength was 11% (95% CI: 0-24%) when adjusted for age and sex but reduced to 6% (95% CI: -10-22%) when adjusted for cognitive impairment.
Studies of hip fractures should include an independent ascertainment of fracture but for other fractures this study supports the use of self-report.
问卷调查中骨折误报的情况是已知的。然而,误报对骨折与后续健康结局之间关联的影响尚未得到研究。
从雷克雅未克年龄研究的2255名参与者的骨折登记处(FR)获取的数据,该登记处是通过对影像学和医疗记录进行广泛审查而建立的,与自我报告的骨折情况相关。这些数据用于确定自我报告骨折的假阴性和假阳性率、误报的相关因素,以及误报对骨折后健康结局估计的潜在影响。
在女性中,假阳性率随年龄下降,而假阴性率随年龄上升,男性中则没有明显的年龄趋势。FR与自我报告之间一致性的Kappa值通常女性高于男性,前臂骨折的一致性最好(男性为0.64,女性为0.82),肋骨骨折的一致性最差(男性为0.28,女性为0.25)。认知障碍是与FR和自我报告之间不一致答案相关的主要因素,比值比为1.7(95%置信区间:1.3 - 2.1)(P < 0.0001)。我们通过比较自我报告的骨折与FR中的骨折之间的关联,并对与不一致相关的因素进行调整,来估计误报对骨折后健康的影响。在调整年龄和性别后,通过活动能力和肌肉力量测量的加权衰减因子为11%(95%置信区间:0 - 24%),但在调整认知障碍后降至6%(95%置信区间: - 10 - 22%)。
髋部骨折的研究应包括对骨折的独立确定,但对于其他骨折,本研究支持使用自我报告。