Hidalgo C A, Klinger B, Barabási A-L, Hausmann R
Center for Complex Network Research and Department of Physics, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556, USA.
Science. 2007 Jul 27;317(5837):482-7. doi: 10.1126/science.1144581.
Economies grow by upgrading the products they produce and export. The technology, capital, institutions, and skills needed to make newer products are more easily adapted from some products than from others. Here, we study this network of relatedness between products, or "product space," finding that more-sophisticated products are located in a densely connected core whereas less-sophisticated products occupy a less-connected periphery. Empirically, countries move through the product space by developing goods close to those they currently produce. Most countries can reach the core only by traversing empirically infrequent distances, which may help explain why poor countries have trouble developing more competitive exports and fail to converge to the income levels of rich countries.
经济体通过升级其生产和出口的产品来实现增长。生产新产品所需的技术、资本、制度和技能,从某些产品中比从其他产品中更容易适配。在此,我们研究产品之间的这种关联性网络,即“产品空间”,发现更复杂的产品位于紧密相连的核心区域,而不太复杂的产品占据联系较少的外围区域。从经验来看,各国通过开发与当前生产的产品相近的商品来在产品空间中移动。大多数国家只有通过跨越经验上不常见的距离才能到达核心区域,这或许有助于解释为什么贫穷国家在发展更具竞争力的出口产品方面存在困难,并且无法向富裕国家的收入水平趋同。