一项基于人群的1996 - 1998年使用移动低剂量螺旋计算机断层扫描进行肺癌大规模筛查项目的长期随访研究。
Long-term follow-up study of a population-based 1996-1998 mass screening programme for lung cancer using mobile low-dose spiral computed tomography.
作者信息
Sone Shusuke, Nakayama Tomio, Honda Takayuki, Tsushima Kenji, Li Feng, Haniuda Masayuki, Takahashi Yoshiro, Suzuki Takaichiro, Yamanda Takeshi, Kondo Ryoichi, Hanaoka Takaomi, Takayama Fumiyoshi, Kubo Keishi, Fushimi Hajime
机构信息
Department of Radiology, JA Nagano Azumi General Hospital, Ikeda, Nagano 399-8695, Japan.
出版信息
Lung Cancer. 2007 Dec;58(3):329-41. doi: 10.1016/j.lungcan.2007.06.022. Epub 2007 Aug 6.
Early diagnosis and treatment are important for improvement of the low survival rate of patients with lung cancer. The objective of this study was to evaluate the long-term survival rate of patients identified to have lung cancer by our population-based baseline and annual repeat low-radiation dose computed tomography (low-dose CT) screenings, conducted in 1996-1998. A total of 13,037 CT scans were obtained from 5480 subjects (2969 men, 2511 women) aged 40-74 years at the initial CT screening. Lung cancer was detected in 63 subjects (57 were detected by CT scans and underwent surgery; 1 was detected by sputum cytology and underwent surgery; 3 rejected treatment; and 2 were interval cases that developed symptoms prior to the next annual repeat CT screening). Follow-up study included review of medical records. Death certificates were examined to check for any deceased interval case among participants. Postoperative follow-up of the 50 survived patients ranged from 70 to 117 (median, 101) months. Eight patients died during follow-up (6 due to lung cancer from 20 to 67 months after surgery and 2 deaths unrelated to lung cancer, each 7 and 60 months following surgery). Three patients who rejected treatment died 14 months to 6 years after positive screening CT scans, and the 2 interval cases died at each 17 and 30 months, respectively, following negative screening CT scans. Survival was analysed in 59 patients with lung cancer detected by low-dose CT screening (excluding two patients; one was detected by sputum cytology and the other had mass lesion already noted on the chest radiograph of the previous year). The 10-year survival calculated by the Kaplan-Meier method was 83.1% (95% CI: 0.735-0.927) for death from all causes and 86.2% (95% CI: 0.773-0.951) for death from lung cancer. The survival rate was excellent for never-smokers, patients with BAC and adenocarcinoma/mixed types with non-solid CT density pattern, associated with Noguchi's type A or B and pathologic stage IA. A poorer prognosis was noted in smokers with adenocarcinomas/mixed types, associated with part-solid or solid CT density pattern and Noguchi's type C or D. All patients with non-solid tumours measuring 6-13.5mm at presentation are alive, patients with part-solid tumours, measuring 17mm or more, or solid tumours, measuring 13mm or more at presentation were associated with increased risk of lung cancer-related morbidity or mortality. The estimated rate of possible over-diagnosis was 13% in total and we failed to cure 17% of patients encountered in the programme. Low-dose CT screening substantially improves the 10-year survival for lung cancer with minimal use of invasive treatment procedures.
早期诊断和治疗对于提高肺癌患者较低的生存率至关重要。本研究的目的是评估在1996 - 1998年进行的基于人群的基线和年度重复低辐射剂量计算机断层扫描(低剂量CT)筛查中确诊为肺癌的患者的长期生存率。在初始CT筛查时,共对5480名年龄在40 - 74岁的受试者(2969名男性,2511名女性)进行了13037次CT扫描。63名受试者被检测出患有肺癌(57名通过CT扫描检测出并接受了手术;1名通过痰细胞学检测出并接受了手术;3名拒绝治疗;2名是在下次年度重复CT筛查前出现症状的间隔期病例)。随访研究包括查阅病历。检查死亡证明以核实参与者中任何已故的间隔期病例。50名存活患者的术后随访时间为70至117个月(中位数为101个月)。8名患者在随访期间死亡(6名因肺癌在术后20至67个月死亡,2名与肺癌无关的死亡分别发生在术后7个月和60个月)。3名拒绝治疗的患者在CT筛查呈阳性后14个月至6年死亡,2名间隔期病例分别在CT筛查呈阴性后17个月和30个月死亡。对59名通过低剂量CT筛查检测出肺癌的患者进行了生存分析(不包括两名患者;一名通过痰细胞学检测出,另一名在上一年的胸部X光片上已发现有肿块病变)。采用Kaplan - Meier方法计算的10年全因死亡率为83.1%(95%CI:0.735 - 0.927),肺癌死亡率为86.2%(95%CI:0.773 - 0.951)。从不吸烟者、细支气管肺泡癌患者以及具有非实性CT密度模式的腺癌/混合型患者(与Noguchi A或B型及病理分期IA相关)的生存率极佳。在具有部分实性或实性CT密度模式以及Noguchi C或D型的腺癌/混合型吸烟者中,预后较差。所有初诊时非实性肿瘤直径为6 - 13.5mm的患者均存活,初诊时部分实性肿瘤直径为17mm或更大或实性肿瘤直径为13mm或更大的患者与肺癌相关的发病率或死亡率风险增加有关。估计总的可能过度诊断率为13%,并且我们未能治愈该项目中遇到的17%的患者。低剂量CT筛查在尽量减少侵入性治疗程序使用的情况下,显著提高了肺癌患者的10年生存率。