Argaud Laurent, Ferry Tristan, Le Quoc-Hung, Marfisi Aurélia, Ciorba Diana, Achache Pierre, Ducluzeau Roland, Robert Dominique
Service de Réanimation Médicale, Groupement Hospitalier Edouard Herriot, 5 Place d'Arsonval, Lyon CEDEX 03, France.
Arch Intern Med. 2007 Nov 12;167(20):2177-83. doi: 10.1001/archinte.167.20.ioi70147. Epub 2007 Aug 13.
During August 2003, Europe sustained a severe heat wave that resulted in 14 800 heat-related deaths in France. Most of these excess deaths occurred in urban areas, where maximal temperatures broke all records. Heatstroke is the most severe form of heat-related illness. The clinical course of heatstroke in urban areas of temperate countries is poorly documented.
During the French heat wave (August 1-20, 2003), we conducted a prospective study in a university hospital located in Lyon, one of the largest metropolitan areas in France. We evaluated survival and functional outcome for 2 years and looked for factors influencing the prognosis.
A total of 83 patients presented with heatstroke. The 28-day and 2-year mortality rates were 58% and 71%, respectively. Mortality was influenced as early as admission by the level of fever and the number of organ dysfunctions. Multivariate analysis revealed an independent contribution to mortality if patients came from an institution (hazard ratio [HR], 1.98; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.05-3.71), used long-term antihypertensive medication (HR, 2.17; 95% CI, 1.17-4.05), or presented at admission with anuria (HR, 5.24; 95% CI, 2.29-12.03), coma (HR, 2.95; 95% CI, 1.26-6.91), or cardiovascular failure (HR, 2.43; 95% CI, 1.14-5.17). Most surviving patients exhibited a dramatic alteration of their functional status at 1 and 2 years.
Heatstroke is associated with poor outcomes in temperate urban areas. This could be explained at least in part by our lack of experience. Western temperate countries need to be more prepared for future heat waves.
2003年8月期间,欧洲遭受了一场严重的热浪袭击,导致法国有14800人因高温死亡。这些额外死亡大多发生在城市地区,那里的最高气温打破了所有记录。中暑是与高温相关疾病的最严重形式。温带国家城市地区中暑的临床病程记录较少。
在法国热浪期间(2003年8月1日至20日),我们在法国最大的都市之一里昂的一家大学医院进行了一项前瞻性研究。我们评估了患者两年的生存情况和功能转归,并寻找影响预后的因素。
共有83例患者出现中暑。28天和2年死亡率分别为58%和71%。入院时的发热程度和器官功能障碍数量对死亡率有早期影响。多变量分析显示,如果患者来自医疗机构(风险比[HR],1.98;95%置信区间[CI],1.05 - 3.71)、使用长期抗高血压药物(HR,2.17;95%CI,1.17 - 4.05),或入院时出现无尿(HR,5.24;95%CI,2.29 - 12.03)、昏迷(HR,2.95;95%CI,1.26 - 6.91)或心血管衰竭(HR,2.43;95%CI,1.14 - 5.17),则对死亡率有独立影响。大多数存活患者在1年和2年时功能状态发生了显著改变。
温带城市地区中暑的预后较差。这至少部分可以用我们缺乏经验来解释。西方温带国家需要为未来的热浪做好更充分的准备。