Department of Geology and Natural History Museum, University of Kansas, Lawrence, Kansas, United States of America.
PLoS One. 2007 Aug 22;2(8):e759. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0000759.
We re-examine the evidence for a 62 million year (Myr) periodicity in biodiversity throughout the Phanerozoic history of animal life reported by, as well as related questions of periodicity in origination and extinction. We find that the signal is robust against variations in methods of analysis, and is based on fluctuations in the Paleozoic and a substantial part of the Mesozoic. Examination of origination and extinction is somewhat ambiguous, with results depending upon procedure. Origination and extinction intensity as defined by may be affected by an artifact at 27 Myr in the duration of stratigraphic intervals. Nevertheless, when a procedure free of this artifact is implemented, the 27 Myr periodicity appears in origination, suggesting that the artifact may ultimately be based on a signal in the data. A 62 Myr feature appears in extinction, when this same procedure is used. We conclude that evidence for a periodicity at 62 Myr is robust, and evidence for periodicity at approximately 27 Myr is also present, albeit more ambiguous.
我们重新审视了在动物生命的整个显生宙历史中,由报告的 6200 万年(Myr)生物多样性周期性,以及起源和灭绝周期性相关问题的证据。我们发现,该信号在分析方法的变化下具有稳健性,并且基于古生代和中生代的大部分的波动。起源和灭绝的检查有些模棱两可,结果取决于程序。由定义的起源和灭绝强度可能受到地层间隔持续时间中 27 Myr 处的人为因素的影响。尽管如此,当实施一种没有这种人为因素的程序时,27 Myr 的周期性就会出现在起源中,这表明这种人为因素可能最终基于数据中的信号。当使用相同的程序时,灭绝中会出现 62 Myr 的特征。我们的结论是,62 Myr 周期性的证据是稳健的,而大约 27 Myr 的周期性的证据也存在,尽管更为模糊。