Stein R S, King G C, Lin J
Science. 1992 Nov 20;258(5086):1328-32. doi: 10.1126/science.258.5086.1328.
The 28 June Landers earthquake brought the San Andreas fault significantly closer to failure near San Bernardino, a site that has not sustained a large shock since 1812. Stress also increased on the San Jacinto fault near San Bernardino and on the San Andreas fault southeast of Palm Springs. Unless creep or moderate earthquakes relieve these stress changes, the next great earthquake on the southern San Andreas fault is likely to be advanced by one to two decades. In contrast, stress on the San Andreas north of Los Angeles dropped, potentially delaying the next great earthquake there by 2 to 10 years.
6月28日的兰德斯地震使圣安地列斯断层在圣贝纳迪诺附近显著更接近破裂状态，自1812年以来该地区未曾遭受过强烈地震。圣贝纳迪诺附近的圣哈辛托断层以及棕榈泉东南部的圣安地列斯断层的应力也有所增加。除非蠕动或中等强度地震缓解这些应力变化，否则圣安地列斯断层南段的下一次大地震可能会提前一到二十年发生。相比之下，洛杉矶以北的圣安地列斯断层的应力下降，可能会使该地区的下一次大地震推迟2至10年。
