Science. 2000 Sep 8;289(5485):1693-4.
Post-cold war investment in science--particularly in the case of seasonal to interannual climate forecasting--is increasingly justified by the goal of demonstrating explicit societal benefit. A review of the 2000 food crisis in Ethiopia and the state of the science of seasonal forecasting is sobering and underscores the need to foster more realistic expectations among both policy-makers and scientists about the uses and limits of climate forecasts in alleviating complex social problems.
冷战后，科学投资——特别是在季节性到年际气候预测方面——越来越多地以展示明确的社会效益为目标。对 2000 年埃塞俄比亚粮食危机和季节性预测科学状况的回顾令人警醒，突显了决策者和科学家都需要对气候预测在缓解复杂社会问题方面的用途和局限性有更现实的期望。
