Science. 1987 Jul 3;237(4810):31-5. doi: 10.1126/science.237.4810.31.
The direct successes of space, defense, and health research are not reflected in the national productivity accounts. Nor are many of the improvements in technologically complex new products. Econometric studies underestimate, therefore, the full contribution of R&D, especially since it is difficult to trace its spillover effects. Nevertheless, a recent study finds a significant contribution of R&D to productivity growth in the largest U.S. manufacturing corporations, with no evidence of a major decline in it, and a larger role for basic research and a smaller one for federally financed R&D expenditures than is implied by their relative importance in total R&D expenditures.
空间、国防和健康研究的直接成功并没有反映在国民生产力账户中。许多技术复杂的新产品的改进也没有反映在其中。因此,经济计量研究低估了研发的全部贡献,尤其是因为很难追踪其溢出效应。尽管如此,最近的一项研究发现,研发对美国最大制造公司的生产力增长有显著贡献,没有证据表明研发投入大幅下降,而且基础研究的作用更大,而联邦资助的研发支出的作用更小,这与它们在总研发支出中的相对重要性暗示的情况不同。