Havrilesky Laura J, Secord Angeles Alvarez, Kulasingam Shalini, Myers Evan
Division of Gynecologic Oncology, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, NC 27710, USA.
Gynecol Oncol. 2007 Nov;107(2):211-8. doi: 10.1016/j.ygyno.2007.06.029. Epub 2007 Sep 17.
We wished to compare the cost-effectiveness of three chemotherapy regimens for treatment of recurrent platinum-sensitive ovarian cancer.
A Markov decision tree was constructed comparing three chemotherapy regimens: (1) carboplatin alone (C); (2) paclitaxel/carboplatin (PC); (3) gemcitabine/carboplatin (GC). Progression-free survival (PFS) and adverse event rates were estimated from published randomized controlled trials (RCTs). Costs of treatment and adverse events were obtained using Medicare reimbursement data.
Estimated mean and median progression-free survival were 8.0 and 6.0 months for C, 10.1 and 7.8 months for PC, 10.5 and 8.4 months for GC, respectively. C was the least expensive strategy, costing $501 per progression-free month (PFM). PC had an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $1297 per additional PFM ($15,564 per additional progression-free year (PFY)) compared to C. GC had an ICER of $23,199 per additional PFM ($278,388 per additional PFY) compared to PC. Results were insensitive to variation in the rates and costs of toxicities over clinically reasonable ranges. The model was sensitive to changes in PFS estimates. When the PFS of GC was assumed to be equivalent to that of PC, GC was strongly dominated (more expensive and no more effective) by PC due to the additional costs. Adjustment for neurotoxicity-associated quality of life (QoL) did not change rankings of strategies.
PC appears to be relatively cost-effective compared to C for the treatment of recurrent platinum-sensitive ovarian cancer. GC appears to be less cost-effective compared to PC, with an ICER ten times higher.
我们希望比较三种化疗方案治疗复发性铂敏感卵巢癌的成本效益。
构建马尔可夫决策树,比较三种化疗方案:(1)单药卡铂(C);(2)紫杉醇/卡铂(PC);(3)吉西他滨/卡铂(GC)。无进展生存期(PFS)和不良事件发生率通过已发表的随机对照试验(RCT)估算。治疗及不良事件的成本通过医疗保险报销数据获得。
C方案的估计平均无进展生存期和中位数无进展生存期分别为8.0个月和6.0个月,PC方案为10.1个月和7.8个月,GC方案为10.5个月和8.4个月。C方案是成本最低的策略,每个无进展月(PFM)花费501美元。与C方案相比,PC方案的增量成本效益比(ICER)为每增加一个PFM 1297美元(每增加一个无进展年(PFY)15564美元)。与PC方案相比,GC方案的ICER为每增加一个PFM 23199美元(每增加一个PFY 278388美元)。在临床合理范围内,结果对毒性发生率和成本的变化不敏感。该模型对PFS估计值的变化敏感。当假设GC方案的PFS与PC方案相当时,由于额外成本,GC方案被PC方案强烈占优(更昂贵且效果不更好)。对神经毒性相关生活质量(QoL)的调整未改变策略排名。
在治疗复发性铂敏感卵巢癌方面,与C方案相比,PC方案似乎具有相对成本效益。与PC方案相比,GC方案似乎成本效益较低,ICER高出十倍。