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初潮年龄低与全因死亡率增加之间的关联:对61319名挪威女性进行的37年随访

Association of low age at menarche with increased all-cause mortality: a 37-year follow-up of 61,319 Norwegian women.

作者信息

Jacobsen Bjarne K, Heuch Ivar, Kvåle Gunnar

机构信息

Institute of Community Medicine, University of Tromsø, Tromsø, Norway.

出版信息

Am J Epidemiol. 2007 Dec 15;166(12):1431-7. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwm237. Epub 2007 Sep 17.

Abstract

Little is known about the impact of age at menarche on later mortality. In a cohort of 61,319 Norwegian women interviewed in 1956-1959, the authors analyzed associations between age at menarche and all-cause mortality. A total of 36,114 women died during the 37 years of follow-up. An inverse association was found between age at menarche and the all-cause mortality rate (p < 0.001), with an approximately 2.4% (95% confidence interval: 1.6, 3.1) reduced mortality per year increase in age at menarche. The association was stronger in women with an attained age of less than 70 years (3.9% reduction in mortality) than in women aged 80 years and above (1.5%). The inverse association could not be explained by extreme mortality rates in women with very early (10 years) or late (19 years) menarche or by possible confounding variables such as birth cohort, place of residence, occupational category (own or husband's occupation), body mass index, age at first delivery, or parity. Because of lack of data, residual confounding by physical activity or cigarette smoking could not be ruled out. Women with a menarche at age 18 years or later had, however, a slightly higher mortality rate than was predicted by the linear association.

摘要

初潮年龄对后期死亡率的影响鲜为人知。在1956年至1959年接受访谈的61319名挪威女性队列中,作者分析了初潮年龄与全因死亡率之间的关联。在37年的随访期间,共有36114名女性死亡。初潮年龄与全因死亡率之间存在负相关(p < 0.001),初潮年龄每增加一岁,死亡率大约降低2.4%(95%置信区间:1.6,3.1)。这种关联在年龄小于70岁的女性中更强(死亡率降低3.9%),而在80岁及以上的女性中则较弱(1.5%)。这种负相关无法用初潮非常早(10岁)或非常晚(19岁)的女性的极端死亡率来解释,也无法用可能的混杂变量如出生队列、居住地点、职业类别(自己或丈夫的职业)、体重指数、首次分娩年龄或产次来解释。由于缺乏数据,无法排除身体活动或吸烟导致的残余混杂因素。然而,初潮年龄在18岁及以后的女性的死亡率略高于线性关联所预测的死亡率。

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