Berns Gregory S, Laibson David, Loewenstein George
Department of Psychiatry & Behavioral Sciences, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, GA 30322, USA.
Trends Cogn Sci. 2007 Nov;11(11):482-8. doi: 10.1016/j.tics.2007.08.011. Epub 2007 Nov 5.
Intertemporal choices are decisions with consequences that play out over time. These choices range from the prosaic--how much food to eat at a meal--to life-changing decisions about education, marriage, fertility, health behaviors and savings. Intertemporal preferences also affect policy debates about long-run challenges, such as global warming. Historically, it was assumed that delayed rewards were discounted at a constant rate over time. Recent theoretical and empirical advances from economic, psychological and neuroscience perspectives, however, have revealed a more complex account of how individuals make intertemporal decisions. We review and integrate these advances. We emphasize three different, occasionally competing, mechanisms that are implemented in the brain: representation, anticipation and self-control.
跨期选择是指后果随时间推移而显现的决策。这些选择范围广泛,从平淡无奇的日常选择(比如一顿饭吃多少食物)到关乎教育、婚姻、生育、健康行为和储蓄等改变人生的决策。跨期偏好也影响着关于长期挑战(如全球变暖)的政策辩论。从历史上看,人们认为延迟奖励会随着时间以恒定速率进行贴现。然而,近期来自经济学、心理学和神经科学视角的理论与实证进展,揭示了个体如何做出跨期决策的更为复杂的情况。我们对这些进展进行综述和整合。我们着重介绍在大脑中实施的三种不同的、有时相互竞争的机制:表征、预期和自我控制。