Tubiello Francesco N, Soussana Jean-François, Howden S Mark
Goddard Institute for Space Studies, Columbia University, 2880 Broadway, New York, NY 10025, USA.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2007 Dec 11;104(50):19686-90. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0701728104. Epub 2007 Dec 6.
We review recent research of importance to understanding crop and pasture plant species response to climate change. Topics include plant response to elevated CO(2) concentration, interactions with climate change variables and air pollutants, impacts of increased climate variability and frequency of extreme events, the role of weeds and pests, disease and animal health, issues in biodiversity, and vulnerability of soil carbon pools. We critically analyze the links between fundamental knowledge at the plant and plot level and the additional socio-economic variables that determine actual production and trade of food at regional to global scales. We conclude by making recommendations for current and future research needs, with a focus on continued and improved integration of experimental and modeling efforts.
我们回顾了近期对于理解作物和牧草植物物种对气候变化响应具有重要意义的研究。主题包括植物对二氧化碳浓度升高的响应、与气候变化变量及空气污染物的相互作用、气候变率增加和极端事件频率上升的影响、杂草和害虫的作用、疾病与动物健康、生物多样性问题以及土壤碳库的脆弱性。我们批判性地分析了植物和地块层面的基础知识与决定区域到全球尺度上粮食实际生产和贸易的其他社会经济变量之间的联系。我们通过针对当前和未来研究需求提出建议来得出结论,重点是持续并改进实验和建模工作的整合。