Lin Huazhen, Yip Paul S F, Huggins Richard M
School of Mathematics, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Stat Med. 2008 Jul 30;27(17):3325-39. doi: 10.1002/sim.3183.
This paper proposes a double-nonparametric procedure to estimate the population size for reporting delay data without the specification of the incidence function and the delay distribution function. Asymptotic results of the proposed estimator are given. Simulation studies show that the proposed procedure works better than the existing estimating procedures. The method has been applied to a suicide reporting system in Hong Kong for improving monitoring and surveillance purposes.
本文提出了一种双非参数方法，用于在不指定发病率函数和延迟分布函数的情况下估计报告延迟数据的总体规模。给出了所提估计量的渐近结果。模拟研究表明，所提方法比现有的估计方法效果更好。该方法已应用于香港的一个自杀报告系统，以改进监测和监督工作。
