Ruhm Christopher J
University of North Carolina Greensboro and National Bureau of Economic Research, USA.
Demography. 2007 Nov;44(4):829-48. doi: 10.1007/BF03208384.
Panel data methods are used to investigate how deaths from coronary heart disease (CHD) in the United States vary with macroeconomic conditions. A one-percentage-point reduction in unemployment is predicted to raise CHD mortality by 0.75%, corresponding to almost 3900 additional fatalities. The increase in relative risk is similar across age groups, implying that senior citizens account for most of the extra deaths. Direct evidence is obtained of a role for decreases in medical interventions treating coronary problems. CHD mortality increases rapidly when the economy strengthens but returns to or near its baseline level within five years for most groups.
面板数据方法用于研究美国冠心病(CHD)死亡人数如何随宏观经济状况而变化。预计失业率每降低一个百分点,冠心病死亡率将上升0.75%,这相当于增加近3900例死亡。各年龄组的相对风险增加情况相似,这意味着老年人占了额外死亡人数的大部分。有直接证据表明治疗冠心病的医疗干预措施减少起到了一定作用。当经济走强时,冠心病死亡率迅速上升,但大多数群体在五年内会恢复到或接近其基线水平。