Department of Economics, School of Business and Economics, Maastricht University, 6200 MD, Maastricht, The Netherlands.
CNRS - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne, 106-112, Boulevard de l'Hôpital, 75013, Paris, France.
Demography. 2019 Oct;56(5):1747-1764. doi: 10.1007/s13524-019-00811-4.
This study uses aggregate panel data on French départements to investigate the relationship between macroeconomic conditions and mortality from 1982 to 2014. We find no consistent relationship between macroeconomic conditions and all-cause mortality in France. The results are robust across different specifications, over time, and across different geographic levels. However, we find that heterogeneity across age groups and mortality causes matters. Furthermore, in areas with a low average educational level, a large population, and a high share of migrants, mortality is significantly countercyclical. Similar to the case in the United States, the relationship between the unemployment rate and mortality seems to have moved from slightly procyclical to slightly countercyclical over the period of analysis.
本研究使用法国各省份的汇总面板数据，调查了 1982 年至 2014 年期间宏观经济条件与死亡率之间的关系。我们发现法国的宏观经济条件与全因死亡率之间没有一致的关系。这些结果在不同的规范、随时间推移和不同的地理层次上都是稳健的。然而，我们发现年龄组和死亡率原因的异质性很重要。此外，在平均教育水平低、人口多和移民比例高的地区，死亡率明显与经济周期相反。与美国的情况类似，失业率与死亡率之间的关系在分析期间似乎已经从略微顺周期转变为略微逆周期。
