Verschuur William L G, Hurts Karel
Department of Psychology, Leiden University, P.O. Box 9555, 2300 RB, Leiden, The Netherlands.
Accid Anal Prev. 2008 Mar;40(2):644-56. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2007.09.001. Epub 2007 Sep 25.
A sample of 743 Dutch drivers was queried about driving-related errors and violations, and about the frequency of their accident involvement over the past 3 years. In addition, the following risky behaviours and characteristics related to driving were measured through self-report: strategic decisions made about driving before starting a trip, attitudes related to committing violations, psychological precursors of unsafe driving (such as being tired or stressed when driving), and physical precursors of unsafe driving (suffering physical or psychological handicaps when driving). The results show that several scales have acceptable reliability coefficients, though several others are in need of improvement. Path analysis showed that an acceptable structural model could be developed to describe all empirical relationships. Considerable parts of the variance in the violations scores and the psychological precursors scores could be explained by the other model variables. In terms of predictive power, "unsafe" attitudes, physical precursors, and psychological precursors had the most impact, each explaining up to 9% of the variance in violations scores, errors scores, and/or psychological precursors scores. The way these results can be utilized in future accident prevention programs and in driver training programs are indicated, as are their implications for future research.
对743名荷兰司机组成的样本进行了询问,了解其与驾驶相关的失误和违规情况,以及过去3年中他们卷入事故的频率。此外,通过自我报告测量了以下与驾驶相关的危险行为和特征:出行前做出的关于驾驶的策略性决定、与违规相关的态度、不安全驾驶的心理先兆(如驾驶时感到疲劳或有压力)以及不安全驾驶的身体先兆(驾驶时患有身体或心理障碍)。结果表明,几个量表具有可接受的信度系数,不过其他几个量表需要改进。路径分析表明,可以构建一个可接受的结构模型来描述所有的实证关系。违规得分和心理先兆得分中相当一部分方差可以由其他模型变量解释。在预测能力方面,“不安全”态度、身体先兆和心理先兆的影响最大,每种因素最多可解释违规得分、失误得分和/或心理先兆得分中方差的9%。指出了这些结果在未来事故预防计划和驾驶员培训计划中的应用方式,以及它们对未来研究的启示。