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DIVA评分的推导:一种用于识别静脉穿刺困难儿童的临床预测规则。

Derivation of the DIVA score: a clinical prediction rule for the identification of children with difficult intravenous access.

作者信息

Yen Kenneth, Riegert Anne, Gorelick Marc H

机构信息

Department of Pediatrics, Section of Emergency Medicine, Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI 53226, USA.

出版信息

Pediatr Emerg Care. 2008 Mar;24(3):143-7. doi: 10.1097/PEC.0b013e3181666f32.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To develop a clinical prediction rule that would be easy to apply and be useful for predicting success or failure of peripheral intravenous line insertion in children.

METHODS

This was a prospective cohort study of children aged 0 to 21 years undergoing peripheral intravenous placement by staff nurses in a pediatric emergency department. Information on candidate predictor variables was obtained before attempting intravenous placement, and the outcome was successful on first attempt. Backward stepwise logistic regression was used to identify factors independently predictive of success. Those factors remaining in the model were used in a set of linear scores. Receiver operating characteristic curves were constructed for each model, and the areas under the curve were calculated.

RESULTS

Six hundred fifteen subjects were enrolled. Success rate for intravenous insertion on first attempt was 75%. A 4-variable proportionally weighted rule (known as the difficult intravenous access [DIVA] score) was created (3 points for prematurity, 3 for younger than 1 year, 1 for 1-2 years of age, 2 for vein not palpable, and 2 for vein not visible). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.67. Subjects with a DIVA score of 4 or more were more than 50% likely to have failed intravenous placement on first attempt.

CONCLUSIONS

A clinical prediction rule that is easy to apply and is useful for predicting success or failure of peripheral intravenous insertion has been created. If externally validated, this DIVA score can be used to predict which children will have difficult intravenous access.

摘要

目的

制定一种易于应用且有助于预测儿童外周静脉穿刺成败的临床预测规则。

方法

这是一项前瞻性队列研究,研究对象为0至21岁在儿科急诊科由护士进行外周静脉穿刺的儿童。在尝试静脉穿刺前获取候选预测变量的信息,结果为首次尝试成功。采用向后逐步逻辑回归来识别独立预测成功的因素。模型中保留的因素用于一组线性评分。为每个模型构建受试者工作特征曲线,并计算曲线下面积。

结果

共纳入615名受试者。首次静脉穿刺成功率为75%。创建了一个包含4个变量的比例加权规则(称为困难静脉穿刺[DIVA]评分)(早产得3分,1岁以下得3分,1至2岁得1分,静脉不可触及得2分,静脉不可见得2分)。受试者工作特征曲线下面积为0.67。DIVA评分为4分或更高的受试者首次静脉穿刺失败的可能性超过50%。

结论

已创建一种易于应用且有助于预测外周静脉穿刺成败的临床预测规则。如果经过外部验证,该DIVA评分可用于预测哪些儿童静脉穿刺困难。

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