Francini-Filho Ronaldo B, Moura Rodrigo L, Thompson Fabiano L, Reis Rodrigo M, Kaufman Les, Kikuchi Ruy K P, Leão Zelinda M A N
Grupo de Pesquisas em Recifes de Corais e Mudanças Globais, Universidade Federal da Bahia, Rua Caetano Moura 123, 40210-340 Salvador, BA, Brazil.
Mar Pollut Bull. 2008 May;56(5):1008-14. doi: 10.1016/j.marpolbul.2008.02.013. Epub 2008 Mar 17.
Although reef corals worldwide have sustained epizootics in recent years, no coral diseases have been observed in the southwestern Atlantic Ocean until now. Here we present an overview of the main types of diseases and their incidence in the largest and richest coral reefs in the South Atlantic (Abrolhos Bank, eastern Brazil). Qualitative observations since the 1980s and regular monitoring since 2001 indicate that coral diseases intensified only recently (2005-2007). Based on estimates of disease prevalence and progression rate, as well as on the growth rate of a major reef-building coral species (the Brazilian-endemic Mussismilia braziliensis), we predict that eastern Brazilian reefs will suffer a massive coral cover decline in the next 50 years, and that M. braziliensis will be nearly extinct in less than a century if the current rate of mortality due to disease is not reversed.
尽管近年来全球范围内的珊瑚礁都遭受了 epizootics(动物流行病),但直到现在西南大西洋尚未观察到任何珊瑚疾病。在此,我们概述了南大西洋最大且最丰富的珊瑚礁(巴西东部的阿卜罗柳斯浅滩)中主要疾病类型及其发病率。自20世纪80年代以来的定性观察以及2001年以来的定期监测表明,珊瑚疾病只是在最近(2005 - 2007年)才加剧。基于疾病患病率和进展速率的估计,以及一种主要造礁珊瑚物种(巴西特有的巴西缪氏珊瑚)的生长速率,我们预测巴西东部的珊瑚礁在未来50年内珊瑚覆盖面积将大幅下降,并且如果当前因疾病导致的死亡率不扭转,巴西缪氏珊瑚将在不到一个世纪内几近灭绝。