Havlikova M, Kroeze C, Huijbregts M A J
Environmental Systems Analysis Group Wageningen University, PO Box 47, 6700 AA Wageningen, The Netherlands.
Sci Total Environ. 2008 Jun 25;396(2-3):121-31. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2008.02.027. Epub 2008 Apr 18.
In this study we evaluate the potential environmental and health impact of dairy cattle livestock and manure management in the Czech Republic. We present a new approach for national assessments of the environmental impact of an agricultural sector. Emission estimates are combined with a country-specific set of indicators to assess the environmental impact in nine regions with specific environmental characteristics. We estimate the contribution of emissions of ammonia (NH3) and nitrogen oxides (NO) to acidification and terrestrial eutrophication, nitrate (NO3) and phosphate (PO4) to aquatic eutrophication, nitrogen oxides (NO), particulate matter (PM10) and (PM2.5) to human toxicity and methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (NO) to global warming. We present large regional differences in the environmental and health impact per unit of agricultural production. The regional acidifying, eutrophying and global warming impact of dairy cattle is calculated to be up to three times the national average, depending on the dairy cattle intensity. Aquatic eutrophication is found to be a problem in regions with relatively high eutrophying emissions per hectare of so-called nitrate vulnerable zones. Human toxicity problems caused by dairy cattle livestock and manure management are problematic in regions with a high population density in rural areas. The strength of our approach is the use of country-specific characterisation factors to assess the potential environmental and health impact of agriculture at the sub-national scale. We were able to analyse the potential environmental impact without explicit quantification of specific effects on humans and ecosystems. The results can be used to identify the most polluted areas as well as appropriate targets for emission reduction.
在本研究中,我们评估了捷克共和国奶牛养殖及粪便管理对环境和健康的潜在影响。我们提出了一种用于国家层面评估农业部门环境影响的新方法。排放估算与一套特定国家的指标相结合,以评估九个具有特定环境特征地区的环境影响。我们估算了氨(NH₃)和氮氧化物(NO)排放对酸化和陆地富营养化的贡献,硝酸盐(NO₃)和磷酸盐(PO₄)对水体富营养化的贡献,氮氧化物(NO)、颗粒物(PM10)和(PM2.5)对人体毒性的贡献,以及甲烷(CH₄)和一氧化二氮(N₂O)对全球变暖的贡献。我们发现单位农业生产的环境和健康影响存在很大的区域差异。根据奶牛养殖强度,奶牛养殖的区域酸化、富营养化和全球变暖影响计算得出高达全国平均水平的三倍。在每公顷所谓硝酸盐易受影响区富营养化排放相对较高的地区,水体富营养化是一个问题。在农村地区人口密度较高的地区,奶牛养殖及粪便管理造成的人体毒性问题较为突出。我们方法的优势在于使用特定国家的特征因子在国家以下层面评估农业的潜在环境和健康影响。我们能够在不对人类和生态系统的具体影响进行明确量化的情况下分析潜在环境影响。研究结果可用于确定污染最严重的地区以及合适的减排目标。