Sun Xi-Bin, Liu Zhi-Cai, Liu Shu-Zheng, Li Bian-Yun, Dai Di-Xin, Quan Pei-Liang, Cheng Lan-Ping, Lu Jian-Bang
Henan Office for Cancer Prevention and Control, Zhengzhou 450008, China.
Zhonghua Zhong Liu Za Zhi. 2007 Oct;29(10):764-7.
To analyze the incidence and time trends of esophageal and gastric cancers in Linzhou city bassed on the data of Linxian Tumor Registry, and to provide valid reference data for research and effective estimation of cancer control in this area.
All incidence records for the both cancers during 1988-2003 were drawn from Linzhou Tumor Registry and grouped by sex, age, year and then linked to corresponding population data. The incidence rates of those two topographic site cancers were calculated and the age-adjusted rates were calculated by direct standardization to the world population. A joinpoint model was used to get the annual percentage change (APC) of the age-adjusted rates, and to estimate the epidemiological trends of both cancers in population of Linzhou city.
In the year 2003 the age-adjusted incidence rates of esophageal and gastric cancers were 81.78 per 100 000 and 77.08 per 100 000, respectively, in the population of Linzhou city. The incidence rate of both cancers showed a decreasing trend from 1988 to 2003. The APC of the incidence rates of esophageal cancer was - 2.6% and that of gastric cancer was - 1.8%, and both indexes were statistically significant (P < 0.05).
The incidence rates of esophageal and gastric cancers have presented a decreasing trends in the population of Linzhou city. This trend will continue along with the development of social economy, elevation of living standard and improvement in living habit and environment.
基于林县肿瘤登记数据,分析林州市食管癌和胃癌的发病率及时间趋势,为该地区癌症研究及有效控制评估提供有效参考数据。
从林州肿瘤登记处提取1988 - 2003年这两种癌症的所有发病记录,按性别、年龄、年份分组,然后与相应人口数据关联。计算这两个部位癌症的发病率,并通过对世界人口直接标准化计算年龄调整率。采用连接点模型获取年龄调整率的年度百分比变化(APC),并估计林州市这两种癌症在人群中的流行趋势。
2003年,林州市人群中食管癌和胃癌的年龄调整发病率分别为每10万人81.78例和每10万人77.08例。1988年至2003年,这两种癌症的发病率均呈下降趋势。食管癌发病率的APC为 - 2.6%,胃癌为 - 1.8%,且两个指标均具有统计学意义(P < 0.05)。
林州市人群中食管癌和胃癌的发病率呈下降趋势。随着社会经济发展、生活水平提高以及生活习惯和环境改善,这一趋势将持续下去。