Olver Mark E, Wong Stephen C P, Nicholaichuk Terry P
University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, Canada.
J Interpers Violence. 2009 Mar;24(3):522-36. doi: 10.1177/0886260508317196. Epub 2008 May 5.
The treatment outcome of a high-intensity inpatient sex offender treatment program was evaluated by comparing the sexual recidivism rates of 472 treated and 282 untreated sex offenders. The program is designed for moderate- to high-risk sex offenders and follows the principles of effective correctional treatment. The current investigation is an extension of an earlier study (Nicholaichuk et al., 2000) with the addition of 176 participants, an extra 4 years follow-up, and the use of Cox regression survival analysis to control for three potentially confounding variables: age of release, sexual offending history, and length of follow-up. Treated offenders sexually recidivated significantly less than the comparison group over nearly 20 years of follow-up, even after controlling for the aforementioned variables. The substantive findings suggest that treatment adhering to the what works principles can reduce long-term sexual recidivism for a moderate- to high-risk group of sex offenders.
通过比较472名接受治疗的性犯罪者和282名未接受治疗的性犯罪者的性再犯率,对一个高强度住院性犯罪者治疗项目的治疗效果进行了评估。该项目针对中度至高度风险的性犯罪者设计,并遵循有效矫正治疗的原则。当前的调查是早期一项研究(Nicholaichuk等人,2000年)的扩展,增加了176名参与者,延长了4年的随访时间,并使用Cox回归生存分析来控制三个潜在的混杂变量:释放年龄、性犯罪历史和随访时长。在近20年的随访中,即使在控制了上述变量之后,接受治疗的犯罪者性再犯的情况也明显少于对照组。实质性研究结果表明,遵循有效原则的治疗可以降低中度至高度风险的性犯罪者群体的长期性再犯率。