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处于十字路口的湄公河三角洲:加强管控还是适应变化?

Mekong Delta at the crossroads: more control or adaptation?

作者信息

Käkönen Mira

机构信息

Water and Development Research Group, Helsinki University of Technology, Finland.

出版信息

Ambio. 2008 May;37(3):205-12. doi: 10.1579/0044-7447(2008)37[205:mdatcm]2.0.co;2.

Abstract

Development in the Mekong Delta of Vietnam has been very dynamic in the recent past, and currently it stands at an interesting crossroads. On one hand, agricultural production has developed successfully, and economic growth has been very rapid, but on the other hand, intensifying agriculture and large-scale water-control structures have challenged the environmental sustainability and social equity. The development plans have included a strong belief in the human mastery over the nature and waters of the Mekong Delta. In many cases, water resources planners have underestimated the complexity and integrated nature of the ecology and livelihoods of the Mekong Delta. This article examines cases where development efforts, while successful in some dimensions, have also contributed to create new risks for, especially, the poorest groups. The current situation calls for a more sustainable future route that would require examination of more adaptive measures in relation to the changing water flows of the Mekong River.

摘要

越南湄公河三角洲地区在最近一段时间发展非常活跃,目前正处于一个有趣的十字路口。一方面,农业生产取得了成功发展,经济增长非常迅速,但另一方面,集约化农业和大规模水利控制结构对环境可持续性和社会公平性构成了挑战。发展计划中蕴含着对人类掌控湄公河三角洲自然和水域能力的坚定信念。在许多情况下,水资源规划者低估了湄公河三角洲生态和生计的复杂性及整体性。本文审视了一些案例,这些发展努力虽在某些方面取得成功,但也给尤其是最贫困群体带来了新的风险。当前形势需要一条更具可持续性的未来道路,这将要求针对湄公河不断变化的水流情况研究更多适应性措施。

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