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费城高中性传播疾病筛查项目:动态传播模型的关键见解

The Philadelphia High-School STD Screening Program: key insights from dynamic transmission modeling.

作者信息

Fisman David N, Spain C Victor, Salmon Melinda E, Goldberg Martin

机构信息

Research Institute of the Hospital for Sick Children, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.

出版信息

Sex Transm Dis. 2008 Nov;35(11 Suppl):S61-5. doi: 10.1097/OLQ.0b013e3181802822.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The Philadelphia high-school STD Screening Program (PHSSP) represents an innovative approach to screening-based control of Chlamydia trachomatis infection. The program has been associated with significant reductions in Chlamydia trachomatis prevalence in young females in Philadelphia. We sought to assess program cost-effectiveness in a manner that allowed us to quantify the impact of including males students in the screened population.

METHODS

We created a dynamic transmission model using a susceptible-infectious-resistant-susceptible framework. The model was parameterized using PHSSP program data, supplemented by available data from the medical and public health literature, and was used to project the impact of screening on disease burden, quality adjusted survival, and costs.

RESULTS

A well-calibrated model suggests that high-school based screening is highly cost-effective in the Philadelphia context. Five important insights are gained through dynamic transmission modeling of the PHSSP: (i) the importance of screening males can be appreciated using a dynamic transmission model; (ii) the attractiveness of screening males is inversely related to equilibrium prevalence in males; (iii) including males enhances both effectiveness and economic attractiveness of screening; (iv) rebound in prevalence does not greatly diminish the cost-effectiveness of screening; and (v) increasing program expenditures via increased screening coverage decreases net societal costs, due to diminished disease transmission.

CONCLUSIONS

The current PHSSP is highly cost-effective relative to other commonly accepted interventions. Effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of this program are enhanced by including males. This, and other important attributes of the program, is best appreciated when a dynamic transmission model is used for program evaluation.

摘要

背景

费城高中性传播感染筛查项目(PHSSP)是一种基于筛查控制沙眼衣原体感染的创新方法。该项目与费城年轻女性沙眼衣原体感染率的显著降低相关。我们试图以一种能够量化将男学生纳入筛查人群影响的方式评估该项目的成本效益。

方法

我们使用易感-感染-抗性-易感框架创建了一个动态传播模型。该模型使用PHSSP项目数据进行参数化,并辅以医学和公共卫生文献中的可用数据,用于预测筛查对疾病负担、质量调整生存期和成本的影响。

结果

一个校准良好的模型表明,在费城的背景下,基于高中的筛查具有很高的成本效益。通过对PHSSP进行动态传播建模获得了五个重要见解:(i)使用动态传播模型可以认识到筛查男性的重要性;(ii)筛查男性的吸引力与男性的平衡患病率呈负相关;(iii)纳入男性可提高筛查的有效性和经济吸引力;(iv)患病率的反弹不会大大降低筛查的成本效益;(v)由于疾病传播减少,通过增加筛查覆盖率增加项目支出可降低社会净成本。

结论

相对于其他普遍接受的干预措施,当前的PHSSP具有很高的成本效益。纳入男性可提高该项目的有效性和成本效益。当使用动态传播模型进行项目评估时,该项目的这一以及其他重要属性最能得到体现。

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