Edwards D S, Coyne K, Dawson S, Gaskell R M, Henley W E, Rogers K, Wood J L N
Epidemiology Section, Animal Health Trust, Newmarket, Suffolk CB8 7UU, UK.
Prev Vet Med. 2008 Nov 17;87(3-4):327-39. doi: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2008.05.005. Epub 2008 Jul 18.
Feline upper respiratory tract disease (URTD), mainly caused by feline calicivirus (FCV) and feline herpesvirus, is a major cause of disease outbreaks in feline accommodation such as animal shelters, catteries and multi-cat households. We conducted a longitudinal, yearlong study in five UK feline animal shelters to identify risk factors for the time to diagnosis of URTD. We were especially interested in risk factors that could be identified at the time the cat entered the shelter. Shelter staff recorded data for 1,434 cats during 2002-2003. Most of the cats were domestic shorthair cats and were from private households, or were stray or abandoned. Sixty cats without clinical signs of URTD at entry had URTD diagnosed (typically within the first month at the centre). We used two multivariable models: one was a Cox proportional-hazards model, and the other a regression analyses with complementary log-log model. The hazard varied substantially between shelters and was considerably lower for the shelter that had a purpose-built admissions unit with its own isolation facilities. The hazard was greater for purebred cats (HR 4.3-5.0) and for neutered cats (HR 2.0). The hazard was also typically greater if the centre had a greater proportion of cats present with URTD. The analyses suggested that the centre-level risk factors were more important in determining hazard than cat-level risk factors.
猫上呼吸道疾病(URTD)主要由猫杯状病毒(FCV)和猫疱疹病毒引起,是动物收容所、猫舍和多猫家庭等猫类居住场所疾病爆发的主要原因。我们在英国的五个猫类动物收容所进行了为期一年的纵向研究,以确定URTD诊断时间的风险因素。我们特别关注在猫进入收容所时就能确定的风险因素。收容所工作人员在2002年至2003年期间记录了1434只猫的数据。大多数猫是家养短毛猫,来自私人家庭,或是流浪猫或被遗弃的猫。60只进入时没有URTD临床症状的猫被诊断出患有URTD(通常是在进入该中心的第一个月内)。我们使用了两个多变量模型:一个是Cox比例风险模型,另一个是互补对数-对数模型的回归分析。不同收容所之间的风险差异很大,对于设有专门的入院单元及自有隔离设施的收容所,风险要低得多。纯种猫(风险比4.3 - 5.0)和绝育猫(风险比2.0)的风险更高。如果该中心患有URTD的猫比例更高,风险通常也更大。分析表明,在确定风险方面,中心层面的风险因素比猫层面的风险因素更重要。