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估算法国大麻非法市场欧元价值的两种方法。

Two ways of estimating the euro value of the illicit market for cannabis in France.

作者信息

Legleye Stephane, Ben Lakhdar Christian, Spilka Stanislas

机构信息

French Monitoring Centre of Drugs and Drug Addiction (OFDT), Paris, France.

出版信息

Drug Alcohol Rev. 2008 Sep;27(5):466-72. doi: 10.1080/09595230802090030.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

The most recent health surveys in general population are used in order to estimate the annual market size for cannabis in France in 2005.

METHODS

Two methods for arriving at an estimate are proposed: the first based on reported consumption, the other on reported expenditure on cannabis.

RESULTS

The annual sales figure for cannabis in France is between 746 and 832 million euro. Men's expenditure accounts for between 80 and 85% of total expenditure and those aged between 15 and 24 years account for the greatest part of the size of the cannabis market, between 57 and 60%, depending upon the method.

CONCLUSIONS

According to these estimates, consumers' average annual expenditure on cannabis is around euro 202 in France, compared to estimates obtained for New Zealand and Holland (euro 124) and the United States (euro 362).

摘要

引言

为估算2005年法国大麻的年度市场规模,采用了普通人群的最新健康调查数据。

方法

提出了两种估算方法:第一种基于报告的消费量,另一种基于报告的大麻支出。

结果

法国大麻的年销售额在7.46亿至8.32亿欧元之间。男性支出占总支出的80%至85%,15至24岁年龄段的人群占大麻市场规模的最大部分,根据估算方法的不同,占比在57%至60%之间。

结论

根据这些估算,法国消费者每年在大麻上的平均支出约为202欧元,相比之下,新西兰和荷兰的估算值为124欧元,美国为362欧元。

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