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1973 - 2002年美国间皮瘤发病模式:变化指标及对背景发病率的洞察

US mesothelioma patterns 1973-2002: indicators of change and insights into background rates.

作者信息

Teta Mary Jane, Mink Pamela J, Lau Edmund, Sceurman Bonnielin K, Foster Edward D

机构信息

Exponent Inc., Health Sciences Practice, New York, New York, USA.

出版信息

Eur J Cancer Prev. 2008 Nov;17(6):525-34. doi: 10.1097/CEJ.0b013e3282f0c0a2.

Abstract

Mesothelioma rates are declining toward background levels, although estimates of the background rate have varied. We expanded upon earlier analyses and provided a data-based estimate of the background rate. We analyzed US male and female patterns for five age groups using the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results registry data from 1973 to 2002. Age-specific and age-adjusted incidence rates per 1 000 000 persons per year, standardized to the 2000 US population, were calculated for total, pleural, and peritoneal mesothelioma. We also calculated rates for persons who attained working age after the US Occupational Safety and Health Administration asbestos exposure limits took effect. Mesothelioma rates observed among young males and females varied little over time. We observed a decline and convergence of recent male and female rates in older age groups, except those who are between the age of 60 and above, for whom the 2002 male rate was approximately five times greater than that of females. As expected, rates were higher in major shipyard areas on the West coast. Rates for persons with little or no opportunity for occupational asbestos exposure were 1.15 (95% confidence interval: 0.90-1.45) for men and 0.94 (95% confidence interval: 0.87-1.24) for women. Mesothelioma is rare in younger age groups, and rates have been relatively stable and similar for both sexes. Rates continue to decline in older age groups, but remain high for males at 60 years or older. Rates among females at older ages suggest an impact of occupational exposure. The background rate for persons below age 50 is approximately one per million, independent of sex. Future data are needed to estimate this rate for older age groups.

摘要

间皮瘤发病率正朝着背景水平下降,尽管背景发病率的估计值有所不同。我们在早期分析的基础上进行了扩展,并提供了基于数据的背景发病率估计值。我们使用美国国家癌症研究所1973年至2002年的监测、流行病学和最终结果登记数据,分析了五个年龄组的美国男性和女性模式。计算了每100万人每年的年龄别发病率和年龄调整发病率,以2000年美国人口为标准,涵盖总间皮瘤、胸膜间皮瘤和腹膜间皮瘤。我们还计算了在美国职业安全与健康管理局石棉接触限值生效后达到工作年龄的人群的发病率。年轻男性和女性的间皮瘤发病率随时间变化不大。我们观察到,除60岁及以上年龄组外,近期老年组男性和女性的发病率呈下降和趋同趋势,2002年该年龄组男性发病率约为女性的五倍。正如预期的那样,西海岸主要造船厂地区的发病率较高。职业石棉接触机会很少或没有的人群中,男性发病率为1.15(95%置信区间:0.90 - 1.45),女性为0.94(95%置信区间:0.87 - 1.24)。间皮瘤在较年轻年龄组中罕见,且男女发病率相对稳定且相似。老年组发病率继续下降,但60岁及以上男性的发病率仍然很高。老年女性的发病率表明职业接触有影响。50岁以下人群的背景发病率约为百万分之一,与性别无关。需要未来的数据来估计老年组的这一发病率。

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