Lienau E Kurt, DeSalle Rob
Department of Biology, New York University, New York, NY 10003, USA.
Acta Biotheor. 2009 Jun;57(1-2):187-99. doi: 10.1007/s10441-008-9066-5. Epub 2008 Nov 18.
We examine three critical aspects of Popper's formulation of the 'Logic of Scientific Discovery'--evidence, content and degree of corroboration--and place these concepts in the context of the Tree of Life (ToL) problem with particular reference to molecular systematics. Content, in the sense discussed by Popper, refers to the breadth and scope of existence that a hypothesis purports to explain. Content, in conjunction with the amount of available and relevant evidence, determines the testability, or potential degree of corroboration, of a statement; content distinguishes scientific hypotheses from metaphysical assertions. Degree of corroboration refers to the relative and tentative confidence assigned to one hypothesis over another, based upon the performance of each under critical tests. Here we suggest that systematists attempt to maximize content and evidence to increase the potential degree of corroboration in all phylogenetic endeavors. Discussion of this "total evidence" approach leads to several interesting conclusions about generating ToL hypotheses.
我们审视了波普尔关于“科学发现的逻辑”表述中的三个关键方面——证据、内容和确证度,并将这些概念置于生命之树(ToL)问题的背景下,特别提及分子系统学。按照波普尔所讨论的意义,内容指的是一个假设声称要解释的存在的广度和范围。内容,连同可用的相关证据的数量,决定了一个陈述的可检验性,或潜在的确证度;内容将科学假设与形而上学断言区分开来。确证度指的是基于每个假设在关键检验中的表现,相对于另一个假设给予一个假设的相对且暂时的置信度。在此我们认为,系统学家在所有系统发育研究中试图最大化内容和证据,以提高潜在的确证度。对这种“总证据”方法的讨论得出了关于生成生命之树假设的几个有趣结论。