Buckingham Ken J, Devlin Nancy Joy
Department of Preventive and Social Medicine, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand.
Soc Sci Med. 2009 Jan;68(2):362-7. doi: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2008.09.048. Epub 2008 Nov 18.
Time Trade-Off (TTO) valuations of health are widely used in economic evaluation of health care. Current approaches to eliciting TTO values, and their use in economic evaluation, rest on specific assumptions about the way utility relates to time and health. Both the assumptions themselves and evidence of violations of them are discussed in the literature - yet the issues appear not to be widely appreciated by those using and applying TTO in economic evaluation. This paper adds to that literature by demonstrating both the requirements of TTO and violations of these assumptions in terms of the underlying indifference curve maps and utility functions. The advantage of this approach is that it demonstrates very clearly a number of fundamental problems for the way TTO values are currently elicited and used in cost utility analysis. In essence, it is extremely unwise to assume that the current 'tariffs' of TTO values, such as those widely used in cost utility analysis to inform health sector decisions in many countries can be applied irrespective of the duration of the health states to which they are assigned. The estimates of QALYs that result will, quite often, simply be wrong. We conclude by pointing to a number of possible solutions.
健康的时间权衡(TTO)估值在医疗保健的经济评估中被广泛使用。当前获取TTO值的方法及其在经济评估中的应用,基于效用与时间和健康关系的特定假设。文献中讨论了这些假设本身以及违反这些假设的证据——然而,在经济评估中使用和应用TTO的人似乎并未广泛认识到这些问题。本文通过根据潜在的无差异曲线图和效用函数展示TTO的要求以及对这些假设的违反,为该文献增添了内容。这种方法的优点是,它非常清楚地展示了当前获取TTO值并将其用于成本效用分析的方式存在的一些基本问题。从本质上讲,假设当前的TTO值“费率”(如许多国家在成本效用分析中广泛用于为卫生部门决策提供信息的那些)可以不顾其分配的健康状态持续时间而应用是极其不明智的。由此得出的QALY估计值往往会是错误的。我们最后指出了一些可能的解决方案。