Stryker Jo Ellen, Fishman Jessica, Emmons Karen M, Viswanath Kasisomayajula
Behavioral Sciences and Health Education, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, 1518 Clifton Rd NE, Rm 572, Atlanta, GA 30322, USA.
Prev Chronic Dis. 2009 Jan;6(1):A23. Epub 2008 Dec 15.
We wanted to understand how cancer risks are communicated in mainstream and ethnic newspapers, to determine whether the 2 kinds of newspapers differ and to examine features of news stories and sources that might predict optimal risk communication.
Optimal risk communication was defined as presenting the combination of absolute risk, relative risk, and prevention response efficacy information. We collected data by conducting a content analysis of cancer news coverage from 2003 (5,327 stories in major newspapers, 565 stories in ethnic newspapers). Comparisons of mainstream and ethnic newspapers were conducted by using cross-tabulations and Pearson chi2 tests for significance. Logistic regression equations were computed to calculate odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals for optimal risk communication.
In both kinds of newspapers, cancer risks were rarely communicated numerically. When numeric presentations of cancer risks were used, only 26.2% of mainstream and 29.5% of ethnic newspaper stories provided estimates of both absolute and relative risk. For both kinds of papers, only 19% of news stories presented risk communication optimally. Cancer risks were more likely to be communicated optimally if they focused on prostate cancer, were reports of new research, or discussed medical or demographic risks.
Research is needed to understand how these nonnumeric and decontextualized presentations of risk might contribute to inaccurate risk perceptions among news consumers.
我们希望了解主流报纸和民族报纸是如何传播癌症风险的,以确定这两类报纸是否存在差异,并研究新闻报道和消息来源的特征,这些特征可能预示着最佳的风险沟通方式。
最佳风险沟通被定义为呈现绝对风险、相对风险和预防反应效果信息的组合。我们通过对2003年癌症新闻报道进行内容分析来收集数据(主要报纸中有5327篇报道,民族报纸中有565篇报道)。通过交叉列表和Pearson卡方检验对主流报纸和民族报纸进行比较,以确定其显著性。计算逻辑回归方程,以计算最佳风险沟通的比值比和95%置信区间。
在这两类报纸中,癌症风险很少用数字来传达。当使用癌症风险的数字表述时,主流报纸中只有26.2%、民族报纸中只有29.5%的报道提供了绝对风险和相对风险的估计值。对于这两类报纸来说,只有19%的新闻报道以最佳方式呈现了风险沟通。如果癌症风险报道聚焦于前列腺癌、是新研究报告或讨论了医学或人口统计学风险,那么就更有可能以最佳方式进行传达。
需要开展研究,以了解这些非数字且脱离背景的风险表述可能如何导致新闻消费者产生不准确的风险认知。