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[平滑死亡率指标的方法:应用于西班牙城市死亡率不平等分析[MEDEA项目]]

[Methods to smooth mortality indicators: application to analysis of inequalities in mortality in Spanish cities [the MEDEA Project]].

作者信息

Barceló M Antònia, Saez Marc, Cano-Serral Gemma, Martínez-Beneito Miguel Angel, Martínez José Miguel, Borrell Carme, Ocaña-Riola Ricardo, Montoya Imanol, Calvo Montse, López-Abente Gonzalo, Rodríguez-Sanz Maica, Toro Silvia, Alcalá José Tomás, Saurina Carme, Sánchez-Villegas Pablo, Figueiras Adolfo

机构信息

Grup de Recerca en Estadística, Economia Aplicada i Salut, GRECS, Universitat de Girona, España.

出版信息

Gac Sanit. 2008 Nov-Dec;22(6):596-608. doi: 10.1016/s0213-9111(08)75362-7.

Abstract

Although there is some experience in the study of mortality inequalities in Spanish cities, there are large urban centers that have not yet been investigated using the census tract as the unit of territorial analysis. The coordinated project <> was designed to fill this gap, with the participation of 10 groups of researchers in Andalusia, Aragon, Catalonia, Galicia, Madrid, Valencia, and the Basque Country. The MEDEA project has four distinguishing features: a) the census tract is used as the basic geographical area; b) statistical methods that include the geographical structure of the region under study are employed for risk estimation; c) data are drawn from three complementary data sources (information on air pollution, information on industrial pollution, and the records of mortality registrars), and d) a coordinated, large-scale analysis, favored by the implantation of coordinated research networks, is carried out. The main objective of the present study was to explain the methods for smoothing mortality indicators in the context of the MEDEA project. This study focusses on the methodology and the results of the Besag, York and Mollié model (BYM) in disease mapping. In the MEDEA project, standardized mortality ratios (SMR), corresponding to 17 large groups of causes of death and 28 specific causes, were smoothed by means of the BYM model; however, in the present study this methodology was applied to mortality due to cancer of the trachea, bronchi and lung in men and women in the city of Barcelona from 1996 to 2003. As a result of smoothing, a different geographical pattern for SMR in both genders was observed. In men, a SMR higher than unity was found in highly deprived areas. In contrast, in women, this pattern was observed in more affluent areas.

摘要

尽管在西班牙城市死亡率不平等研究方面已有一些经验,但仍有一些大型城市中心尚未以普查区作为地域分析单位进行调查。协调项目“西班牙城市死亡率中的社会经济和环境不平等。MEDEA项目”旨在填补这一空白,安达卢西亚、阿拉贡、加泰罗尼亚、加利西亚、马德里、巴伦西亚和巴斯克地区的10个研究团队参与其中。MEDEA项目有四个显著特点:a)以普查区作为基本地理区域;b)采用包含所研究区域地理结构的统计方法进行风险估计;c)数据来自三个互补数据源(空气污染信息、工业污染信息和死亡率登记记录);d)通过建立协调研究网络进行协调的大规模分析。本研究的主要目的是解释在MEDEA项目背景下平滑死亡率指标的方法。本研究聚焦于疾病地图绘制中Besag、York和Mollié模型(BYM)的方法和结果。在MEDEA项目中,对应17大类死因和28种具体死因的标准化死亡率(SMR)通过BYM模型进行平滑处理;然而,在本研究中,该方法应用于1996年至2003年巴塞罗那市男性和女性气管、支气管和肺癌死亡率。平滑处理后发现,男女SMR呈现出不同的地理分布模式。在男性中,高度贫困地区的SMR高于1。相比之下,在女性中,这种模式出现在较为富裕的地区。

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