Dandona Lalit, Kumar S G Prem, Kumar G Anil, Dandona Rakhi
George Institute for International Health-India, Hyderabad, India.
AIDS. 2009 Jan 14;23(2):233-42. doi: 10.1097/qad.0b013e328320accc.
To conduct composite economic analysis of HIV prevention interventions to inform efficient utilization of resources in India.
We obtained output and economic cost data for the 2005-2006 fiscal year from a representative sample of 128 public-funded HIV prevention programmes of 14 types in Andhra Pradesh state of India. Using data from various sources, we developed a model to estimate the number of HIV infections averted. We estimated the additional HIV infections that could be averted if each intervention reached optimal coverage and the associated cost.
In a year, 9688 HIV infections were averted by public-funded HIV prevention interventions in Andhra Pradesh. Scaling-up interventions to the optimal level would require US$38.8 million annually, 2.8 times the US$13.8 million economic cost in 2005-2006. This could increase the number of HIV infections averted by 2.4-fold, if with higher resources there were many-fold increases in the proportional allocation for programmes for migrant labourers, men who have sex with men and voluntary counselling and testing, and reduction of the high proportion for mass media campaigns to one-third of the 2005-2006 proportion of resource utilization. If the proportions of resource allocation for interventions remained similar to 2005-2006, the higher resources would avert 54% of the additional avertable HIV infections.
The recent four-fold increase in public funding for HIV/AIDS control in India should be adequate to scale-up HIV prevention interventions to an optimal level in Andhra Pradesh, but the prevention would be suboptimal if additional investments were not preferentially directed to some particular interventions.
对印度艾滋病预防干预措施进行综合经济分析,为资源的有效利用提供依据。
我们从印度安得拉邦14种类型的128个公共资助艾滋病预防项目的代表性样本中获取了2005 - 2006财年的产出和经济成本数据。利用来自各种来源的数据,我们建立了一个模型来估计避免的艾滋病感染人数。我们估计了如果每种干预措施达到最佳覆盖率以及相关成本,可避免的额外艾滋病感染人数。
在一年中,安得拉邦的公共资助艾滋病预防干预措施避免了9688例艾滋病感染。将干预措施扩大到最佳水平每年需要3880万美元,是2005 - 2006年1380万美元经济成本的2.8倍。如果随着资源增加,针对农民工、男男性行为者以及自愿咨询检测项目的比例成倍增加,同时将大众媒体宣传活动的高比例资源使用降至2005 - 2006年资源利用比例的三分之一,那么这将使避免的艾滋病感染人数增加2.4倍。如果干预措施的资源分配比例与2005 - 2006年相似,更多的资源将避免54%的额外可避免艾滋病感染。
印度近期用于艾滋病防治的公共资金增加了四倍,应该足以将安得拉邦的艾滋病预防干预措施扩大到最佳水平,但如果不将额外投资优先用于某些特定干预措施,预防效果将不理想。