Winchester Paul D, Huskins Jordan, Ying Jun
Section of Neonatal-Perinatal Medicine, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis, IN, USA.
Acta Paediatr. 2009 Apr;98(4):664-9. doi: 10.1111/j.1651-2227.2008.01207.x. Epub 2009 Jan 22.
To investigate if live births conceived in months when surface water agrichemicals are highest are at greater risk for birth defects.
Monthly concentrations during 1996-2002 of nitrates, atrazine and other pesticides were calculated using United States Geological Survey's National Water Quality Assessment data. Monthly United States birth defect rates were calculated for live births from 1996 to 2002 using United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention natality data sets. Birth defect rates by month of last menstrual period (LMP) were then compared to pesticide/nitrate means using logistical regression models.
Mean concentrations of agrichemicals were highest in April-July. Total birth defects, and eleven of 22 birth defect subcategories, were more likely to occur in live births with LMPs between April and July. A significant association was found between the season of elevated agrichemicals and birth defects.
Elevated concentrations of agrichemicals in surface water in April-July coincided with higher risk of birth defects in live births with LMPs April-July. While a causal link between agrichemicals and birth defects cannot be proven from this study an association might provide clues to common factors shared by both variables.
调查在地表水中农用化学品含量最高的月份受孕的活产婴儿是否有更高的出生缺陷风险。
利用美国地质调查局的国家水质评估数据计算1996 - 2002年期间硝酸盐、阿特拉津和其他农药的月度浓度。使用美国疾病控制与预防中心的出生数据集计算1996年至2002年美国活产婴儿的月度出生缺陷率。然后使用逻辑回归模型将末次月经日期(LMP)月份的出生缺陷率与农药/硝酸盐均值进行比较。
农用化学品的平均浓度在4月至7月最高。总出生缺陷以及22个出生缺陷子类别中的11个,更有可能发生在末次月经日期在4月至7月之间的活产婴儿中。在农用化学品浓度升高的季节与出生缺陷之间发现了显著关联。
4月至7月地表水中农用化学品浓度升高与末次月经日期在4月至7月的活产婴儿出生缺陷风险较高相吻合。虽然本研究无法证明农用化学品与出生缺陷之间存在因果关系,但这种关联可能为这两个变量共有的共同因素提供线索。