Marlon J R, Bartlein P J, Walsh M K, Harrison S P, Brown K J, Edwards M E, Higuera P E, Power M J, Anderson R S, Briles C, Brunelle A, Carcaillet C, Daniels M, Hu F S, Lavoie M, Long C, Minckley T, Richard P J H, Scott A C, Shafer D S, Tinner W, Umbanhowar C E, Whitlock C
Department of Geography, University of Oregon, Eugene, OR 97403, USA.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2009 Feb 24;106(8):2519-24. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0808212106. Epub 2009 Feb 3.
It is widely accepted, based on data from the last few decades and on model simulations, that anthropogenic climate change will cause increased fire activity. However, less attention has been paid to the relationship between abrupt climate changes and heightened fire activity in the paleorecord. We use 35 charcoal and pollen records to assess how fire regimes in North America changed during the last glacial-interglacial transition (15 to 10 ka), a time of large and rapid climate changes. We also test the hypothesis that a comet impact initiated continental-scale wildfires at 12.9 ka; the data do not support this idea, nor are continent-wide fires indicated at any time during deglaciation. There are, however, clear links between large climate changes and fire activity. Biomass burning gradually increased from the glacial period to the beginning of the Younger Dryas. Although there are changes in biomass burning during the Younger Dryas, there is no systematic trend. There is a further increase in biomass burning after the Younger Dryas. Intervals of rapid climate change at 13.9, 13.2, and 11.7 ka are marked by large increases in fire activity. The timing of changes in fire is not coincident with changes in human population density or the timing of the extinction of the megafauna. Although these factors could have contributed to fire-regime changes at individual sites or at specific times, the charcoal data indicate an important role for climate, and particularly rapid climate change, in determining broad-scale levels of fire activity.
基于过去几十年的数据和模型模拟,人为气候变化将导致火灾活动增加这一观点已被广泛接受。然而,古记录中突发气候变化与火灾活动加剧之间的关系却较少受到关注。我们使用35个木炭和花粉记录来评估北美在末次冰期-间冰期过渡(15至10千年前)期间火灾状况是如何变化的,这是一个气候发生巨大且快速变化的时期。我们还检验了一个假说,即一颗彗星撞击在12.9千年前引发了大陆规模的野火;数据并不支持这一观点,在冰消期的任何时候也未显示有全大陆范围的火灾。然而,大型气候变化与火灾活动之间存在明显联系。从冰期到新仙女木期开始,生物质燃烧逐渐增加。尽管在新仙女木期生物质燃烧有变化,但没有系统的趋势。新仙女木期之后生物质燃烧进一步增加。在13.9、13.2和11.7千年前的快速气候变化间隔期,火灾活动大幅增加。火灾变化的时间与人口密度变化或巨型动物灭绝的时间并不一致。尽管这些因素可能在个别地点或特定时间促成了火灾状况的变化,但木炭数据表明气候,尤其是快速气候变化,在决定火灾活动的广泛水平方面起着重要作用。