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预测选举:小菜一碟!

Predicting elections: child's play!

作者信息

Antonakis John, Dalgas Olaf

机构信息

Faculty of Business and Economics, University of Lausanne, 1015 Lausanne, Switzerland.

出版信息

Science. 2009 Feb 27;323(5918):1183. doi: 10.1126/science.1167748.

Abstract

In two experiments, children and adults rated pairs of faces from election races. Naïve adults judged a pair on competence; after playing a game, children chose who they would prefer to be captain of their boat. Children's (as well as adults') preferences accurately predicted actual election outcomes.

摘要

在两项实验中,儿童和成年人对选举中的成对面孔进行评分。单纯的成年人根据能力来评判一对候选人;在玩了一个游戏后,孩子们选择他们希望成为自己船长的人。儿童(以及成年人)的偏好准确地预测了实际选举结果。

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