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噪声驱动的无限制种群增长。

Noise-driven unlimited population growth.

作者信息

Meerson Baruch, Sasorov Pavel V

机构信息

Racah Institute of Physics, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem 91904, Israel.

出版信息

Phys Rev E Stat Nonlin Soft Matter Phys. 2008 Dec;78(6 Pt 1):060103. doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.78.060103. Epub 2008 Dec 8.

Abstract

Demographic noise causes unlimited population growth in a broad class of models which, without noise, would predict a stable finite population. We study this effect on the example of a stochastic birth-death model which includes immigration, binary reproduction, and death. The unlimited population growth proceeds as an exponentially slow decay of a metastable probability distribution (MPD) of the population. We develop a systematic WKB theory, complemented by the van Kampen system size expansion, for the MPD and for the decay time. Important signatures of the MPD are a power-law tail (such that all the distribution moments, except the zeroth one, diverge) and the presence in the solution of two different WKB modes.

摘要

在一大类模型中,人口统计学噪声会导致人口无限制增长,而在没有噪声的情况下,这些模型会预测人口稳定在有限数量。我们以一个包含移民、二元繁殖和死亡的随机生死模型为例来研究这种效应。人口的无限制增长表现为人口亚稳态概率分布(MPD)呈指数级缓慢衰减。我们为MPD和衰减时间发展了一种系统的WKB理论,并辅以范坎彭系统规模展开。MPD的重要特征是幂律尾部(使得除零阶矩外的所有分布矩发散)以及解中存在两种不同的WKB模式。

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