Patrick Steven, Marsh Robert
Boise State University, Boise, Idaho 83725, USA.
J Child Sex Abus. 2009 Mar-Apr;18(2):123-36. doi: 10.1080/10538710902743909.
In the initial analysis of data from a random sample of all those charged with child sexual abuse in Idaho over a 13-year period, only one predictive variable was found that related to recidivism of those convicted. Variables such as ethnicity, relationship, gender, and age differences did not show a significant or even large association with recidivism. The only variable that seemed to show both a significant and almost moderate association to recidivism was the Risk Assessment in the Sex Offender Evaluation reoffense. Comparisons were made to prior research as well as a discussion of implications of the sex offender evaluation for the legal process. Finally, a call for the continued need for further research is discussed.
在对爱达荷州13年间所有被控儿童性虐待者的随机样本数据进行的初步分析中，仅发现一个与已定罪者再犯相关的预测变量。种族、关系、性别和年龄差异等变量与再犯没有显著甚至较大的关联。唯一似乎与再犯有显著且几乎适度关联的变量是性犯罪者评估再犯风险评估。文中将研究结果与先前的研究进行了比较，并讨论了性犯罪者评估对法律程序的影响。最后，探讨了持续开展进一步研究的必要性。
