Armitage James M, MacLeod Matthew, Cousins Ian T
Department of Applied Environmental Science (ITM), Stockholm University, SE-10691 Stockholm, Sweden.
Environ Sci Technol. 2009 Feb 15;43(4):1134-40. doi: 10.1021/es802900n.
The global-scale fate and transport processes of perfluorooctanoic acid (PFOA) and perfluorooctanoate (PFO) emitted from direct sources were simulated using a multispecies mass balance model over the period 1950 to 2010. The main goal of this study was to assess the atmospheric and oceanic long-range transport potential of direct source emissions and the implications for the contamination of terrestrial and marine systems worldwide. Consistent with previous modeling studies, ocean transport was found to be the dominant pathway for delivering PFO(A) associated with direct sources to the Arctic marine environment regardless of model assumptions. The modeled concentrations for surface ocean waters were insensitive to assumptions regarding physical-chemical properties and emission mode of entry and were in reasonable agreement with available monitoring data from the Northern Hemisphere. In contrast, model outputs characterizing atmospheric transport potential were highly sensitive to model assumptions, especiallythe assumed value of the acid dissociation constant (pKa). However, the complete range of model results for scenarios with different assumptions about partitioning and emissions provide evidence that the atmospheric transport of directly emitted PFO(A) can deliver this substance to terrestrial environments distant from sources. Additional studies in remote or isolated terrestrial systems may provide further insight into the scale of contamination actually attributable to direct sources.
利用多物种质量平衡模型模拟了1950年至2010年期间直接源排放的全氟辛酸(PFOA)和全氟辛酸盐(PFO)在全球范围内的归宿和迁移过程。本研究的主要目的是评估直接源排放物在大气和海洋中的长距离迁移潜力以及对全球陆地和海洋系统污染的影响。与之前的建模研究一致,无论模型假设如何,海洋输送被发现是将与直接源相关的PFO(A)输送到北极海洋环境的主要途径。模拟的表层海水浓度对关于物理化学性质和进入排放模式的假设不敏感,并且与北半球现有的监测数据合理一致。相比之下,表征大气迁移潜力的模型输出对模型假设高度敏感,尤其是酸解离常数(pKa)的假设值。然而,针对不同分配和排放假设情景的完整模型结果范围提供了证据,表明直接排放的PFO(A)的大气迁移可以将该物质输送到远离源的陆地环境。对偏远或孤立陆地系统的进一步研究可能会提供对实际可归因于直接源的污染规模的进一步见解。