Blumberg Elaine J, Liles Sandy, Kelley Norma J, Hovell Melbourne F, Bousman Chad A, Shillington Audrey M, Ji Ming, Clapp John
Center for Behavioral Epidemiology and Community Health, Graduate School of Public Health, San Diego State University, San Diego, CA 92123, USA.
Am J Health Behav. 2009 Nov-Dec;33(6):745-58. doi: 10.5993/ajhb.33.6.11.
To test and compare 2 predictive models of weapon carrying in youth (n = 308) recruited from 4 drop-in centers in San Diego and Imperial counties.
Both models were based on the Behavioral Ecological Model (BEM).
The first and second models significantly explained 39% and 53% of the variance in weapon carrying, respectively, and both full models shared the significant predictors of being black(-), being Hispanic (-), peer modeling of weapon carrying/jail time (+), and school suspensions (+).
Results suggest that the BEM offers a generalizable conceptual model that may inform prevention strategies for youth at greatest risk of weapon carrying.
对从圣地亚哥和帝国县的4个青少年活动中心招募的308名青少年携带武器的两种预测模型进行测试和比较。
两种模型均基于行为生态模型(BEM)。
第一个和第二个模型分别显著解释了携带武器差异的39%和53%,且两个完整模型都有以下显著预测因素:黑人(-)、西班牙裔(-)、携带武器/入狱的同伴示范(+)和学校停学(+)。
结果表明,行为生态模型提供了一个可推广的概念模型,可为携带武器风险最高的青少年的预防策略提供参考。