van Wijngaarden Edwin, Mundt Kenneth A, Luippold Rose S
Applied Epidemiology, Inc., Amherst, MA.
Nonlinearity Biol Toxicol Med. 2004 Jan;2(1):27-34. doi: 10.1080/15401420490426972.
Some have suggested a threshold mechanism for the carcinogenicity of exposure to hexavalent chromium, Cr(VI). We evaluated the nature of the exposure-response relationship between occupational exposure to Cr(VI) and respiratory cancer based on results of two recently published epidemiological cohort studies. The combined cohort comprised a total of 2,849 workers employed at two U.S. chromate production plants between 1940 and 1974. Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) for lung cancer in relation to cumulative Cr(VI) exposure categories were reported using regional mortality rates. Linear additive and multiplicative relative risk regression models were fit to the SMRs of the individual and combined studies. Both models fit the data from the individual studies reasonably well; however, the fit was somewhat less adequate for the pooled data. Meta-analysis of the slope estimates obtained from the multiplicative relative risk model showed substantial heterogeneity between the two epidemiological studies. In conclusion, these data indicate that a linear dose response describes the relationship between Cr(VI) and lung cancer reasonably well, and therefore these analyses do not necessarily support the threshold hypothesis for the lung carcinogenicity of Cr(VI). However, these results must be interpreted with recognition of the limitations of the use of epidemiological data in the evaluation of nonlinear exposure-response patterns.
一些人提出了六价铬(Cr(VI))暴露致癌性的阈值机制。我们基于两项最近发表的流行病学队列研究结果,评估了职业性Cr(VI)暴露与呼吸道癌症之间暴露-反应关系的性质。合并队列包括1940年至1974年间在美国两家铬酸盐生产厂工作的共计2849名工人。使用区域死亡率报告了与累积Cr(VI)暴露类别相关的肺癌标准化死亡比(SMR)。将线性相加和相乘相对风险回归模型应用于个体研究和合并研究的SMR。两个模型对个体研究的数据拟合得都相当好;然而,对汇总数据的拟合略显不足。对从相乘相对风险模型获得的斜率估计值进行的荟萃分析表明,两项流行病学研究之间存在显著异质性。总之,这些数据表明线性剂量反应能较好地描述Cr(VI)与肺癌之间的关系,因此这些分析不一定支持Cr(VI)肺癌致癌性的阈值假说。然而,在解释这些结果时必须认识到在评估非线性暴露-反应模式时使用流行病学数据的局限性。